Alavés vs Valencia prediction, H2H and probable lineups, 20 October 2025

By Author On Oct 20, 2025

Monday night football brings us a solid La Liga clash as Deportivo Alavés host Valencia at the Mendizorrotza Stadium. Both teams are fighting to climb the mid-table zone, and this one could be tighter than it looks on paper.

Alavés will want to bounce back after a tough start to October, while Valencia are hoping to keep their recent form going after a string of positive results. It’s not exactly a top-of-the-table blockbuster, but expect a scrappy, entertaining game with plenty of energy.

Form Guide

Alavés:
Alavés haven’t been in their best shape lately, picking up only one win from their last five league outings. Their defense has looked shaky, especially in away games, but they usually perform better at home. Coach Luis García Plaza will be pushing for a reaction from his squad after a disappointing draw last week.

Valencia:
Valencia, on the other hand, are coming into this with confidence after collecting seven points from their last three matches. They’ve looked sharper going forward, and young talents like Javi Guerra and Diego López have been stepping up. If they can keep up that attacking rhythm, they could cause real trouble for Alavés’ backline.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Looking back, it’s been fairly even between these two sides. Out of their last six meetings, Valencia have won three, Alavés have taken two, and one ended in a draw. Most of their recent encounters have been low-scoring battles — neither side tends to go all-out.

Last season, Valencia edged out a 1–0 win at Mestalla, but Alavés managed a 2–1 home victory in the reverse fixture. So yeah, this matchup can go either way.

Team News

Alavés:
Defender Abdel Abqar remains out through injury, while Rubén Duarte is doubtful. Expect Luis Rioja and Kike García to lead the attack, with Samu Omorodion offering an option off the bench.

Valencia:
For the visitors, José Gayà and André Almeida are both nursing knocks and may miss out. Hugo Duro should start up front again, supported by Pepelu and Fran Pérez in midfield.

Players to Watch

Luis Rioja (Alavés): Always lively on the left wing, capable of creating something from nothing.
Hugo Duro (Valencia): In fine goal-scoring form, he’s becoming a key man for Los Che.
Javi Guerra (Valencia): The young midfielder’s confidence and energy could swing the game in Valencia’s favor.

Prediction

This feels like one of those tight La Liga battles where home advantage might just make the difference. Alavés are tough to beat at home, but Valencia’s form gives them the edge. A low-scoring draw seems most likely.

Prediction: Alavés 1–1 Valencia

Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score – Yes (decent odds and both sides tend to find the net at least once lately)
Under 2.5 Goals (most recent H2Hs have been cagey)
Draw or Valencia Double Chance (safe pick if you’re betting light)

Wrap-Up

It might not be the biggest game of the weekend, but Alavés vs Valencia has all the ingredients for a tactical, tense showdown. Expect a close battle, a few half-chances, and possibly a share of the spoils when the final whistle blows in Vitoria.