Ajax vs Benfica prediction, H2H and probable lineups, 25 November 2025

On Nov 25, 2025

Ajax and Benfica meet again in what’s looking like a properly fiery Champions League night. Both sides still have plenty to fight for, and with the groups getting tight, every point feels like gold at this stage. Ajax are trying to steady the ship after an up-and-down start, while Benfica are chasing consistency but still have that dangerous edge when they click. This one should be a fun watch.

Form Guide

Ajax

Ajax have been swinging between good and shaky performances this season. When their midfield keeps the ball moving, they look like the Ajax everyone knows. But they’ve had moments where they switch off defensively. Home matches have been their safer ground though, and the fans usually lift them.

Benfica

Benfica are also on a mixed run. They create a lot of chances but don’t always finish them, which has cost them a few points. Still, they’re sharp on the counter and have players who can punish mistakes instantly. Their away form hasn’t been perfect, but they don’t usually go down without a fight.

Head-to-Head

Ajax and Benfica have built up a kind of modern European rivalry. Their games are usually tight and tactical, with one goal making the difference. Benfica knocked Ajax out not too long ago in a knockout round, so you know the Dutch side won’t forget that. Recent meetings haven’t produced many goals, so it might be cagey again.

Team News

Ajax Team News

Ajax should have most of their key names available. Steven Bergwijn is expected to feature, and Brian Brobbey should lead the line. Jorrel Hato stays an important part of the back line. A couple of squad players are doubtful, but nothing too major for the starting XI.

Benfica Team News

Benfica also come in with a fairly complete squad. João Neves will run the midfield as usual, while Ángel Di María and Rafa Silva offer creativity out wide. Arthur Cabral is likely to start up front. Just a few minor knocks in the squad, but nothing that changes the main selection.

Probable Lineups

Ajax (4-3-3)

Rulli; Rensch, Hato, Sutalo, Wijndal; Taylor, Van den Boomen, Vos; Berghuis, Brobbey, Bergwijn

Benfica (4-2-3-1)

Trubin; Bah, Otamendi, António Silva, Jurasek; João Neves, Florentino; Di María, Rafa Silva, Kokçu; Cabral

Players to Watch

Steven Bergwijn (Ajax): Always a threat when he cuts inside. If he gets going early, Benfica will have problems.
Brian Brobbey (Ajax): Strong, quick, and improving every game. Benfica’s centre-backs will have their hands full.
Ángel Di María (Benfica): Even at his age, he can completely change a match with one moment.
João Neves (Benfica): Controls the tempo and does the dirty work. Big test for him in Amsterdam.

Match Prediction

This one feels tight on paper. Ajax at home usually gives them a slight edge, but Benfica’s experience in Europe can’t be ignored. Could easily go either way, but a draw seems the safest call.

Predicted Score: Ajax 1–1 Benfica

Betting Tips

Under 3.5 Goals – Their recent meetings tend to be low-scoring.
Both Teams to Score (Yes) – Both sides have enough firepower to grab at least one.
Draw or Ajax Double Chance – Home support might help Ajax avoid defeat.
Anytime Scorer: Steven Bergwijn – Usually steps up in big European matches.

Wrap-Up

Ajax vs Benfica should be one of those tense European nights where small details decide everything. Both teams have quality, both have flaws, and both desperately need the points. Expect a tactical battle with a few flashes of brilliance from the big names. Enjoy the game!