Athletic vs Qarabag prediction, H2H and probable lineups, 22 October 2025

By Author On Oct 22, 2025

Athletic Club are back in European action as they welcome Qarabag to San Mamés for what should be a pretty entertaining midweek clash. Both sides are still fighting for a strong position in their group, and this one could have a big say in who moves closer to qualification.

The Basque side are always tough to beat at home, while Qarabag have built a solid rep for pulling off surprises on the road. Expect a game packed with energy, pressing, and maybe a few nervy moments at both ends.

Recent Form Guide

Athletic Club:
Athletic have been decent lately, picking up a couple of wins and a draw in their last few games. Their defense has looked pretty tight, and the midfield seems to be clicking again. However, they’ve had a bit of trouble converting chances — something they’ll want to fix here.

Qarabag:
Qarabag, on the other hand, come into this game in strong domestic form. They’ve been scoring freely in their league but sometimes struggle when they face higher tempo European sides. Still, their counterattacking game can cause real problems.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

This isn’t exactly a long-standing rivalry, but when these two met earlier in the campaign, Athletic managed to edge it with a narrow win. Qarabag put up a good fight, though, and they’ll fancy their chances of getting revenge this time.

Team News

Athletic Club:
Manager Ernesto Valverde has a few concerns. One of their key defenders picked up a knock last week and might not make it. Otherwise, the main core should be available, including Williams, Sancet, and Nico Williams up front.

Qarabag:
The visitors have a mostly fit squad. Their top scorer is expected to lead the line again, while their midfield anchor returns from suspension — a big boost for them heading into such a tricky away tie.

Players to Watch

Match Prediction

It feels like Athletic should have just enough to win this one, especially with the San Mamés crowd behind them. Qarabag will work hard and might sneak a goal, but the hosts’ quality should shine through in the end.

Predicted Score: Athletic 2–1 Qarabag

Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score – Yes: Qarabag can find the net, even away.
Over 2.5 Goals: Both sides like to go forward, so goals seem likely.
Athletic to Win: Home form might make the difference.

Wrap-Up

Athletic are favorites, but Qarabag aren’t the type to roll over. Expect a competitive match with some end-to-end action. If Athletic stay sharp in front of goal, they should walk away with the points — but don’t rule out a Qarabag surprise either!