Corinthians vs Athletico Paranaense prediction, H2H and probable lineups, September 11, 2025

On Sep 10, 2025

Corinthians welcome Athletico Paranaense for the decisive second leg of the Copa do Brasil quarterfinal at the Neo Química Arena, holding a narrow 1-0 advantage from their first meeting. The Sao Paulo hosts have shown strong form against Paranaense, recording victories in three of the last four encounters and maintaining an impressive aggregate scoreline of 8-3 across these fixtures. Corinthians’ dominance, especially at home, positions them as favorites to progress, with the club having only lost once in the last 13 matchups against Athletico Paranaense.

Head-to-Head and Key Stats

Total meetings: 71
Corinthians wins: 28
Athletico Paranaense wins: 19
Draws: 24
Average goals per match (recent history): 2.5
Last meeting: Corinthians won 1-0 away on August 28, 2025.

Injury & Team News

Corinthians:

Out: Andre Carrillo, Jose Andres Martinez, Raniele
Doubtful fitness: Matheuzinho, Yuri Alberto

Athletico Paranaense:

Out: Isaac, Leo, Renan, Julimar, plus three additional players are injured.

Probable Lineups

Corinthians (4-2-3-1):

Betting Tips & Odds

Corinthians to win: 76% probability (Odds: 2.00)
Betting tip: Home & Under 2.5 goals (Odds: 2.87)
Both teams to score is likely, but under 2.5 goals is favored.

Analysis and Prediction

Despite recent struggles in the domestic league, Corinthians maintain high defensive discipline and home strength in cup competitions, having eliminated Palmeiras in the previous round. Athletico Paranaense have performed well recently but face an uphill battle at a venue where they have not tasted victory since 2009. Team absences, especially for Corinthians, may open opportunities for Paranaense, but the home side’s aggregate lead and historical record suggest they will advance.

Final Prediction:
Corinthians 2-1 Athletico Paranaense
Corinthians are expected to secure a hard-fought win and book their place in the Copa do Brasil semifinals.