France vs Iceland prediction, H2H and probable lineups, September 9, 2025

By Author On Sep 8, 2025

France takes on Iceland at the Parc des Princes in a crucial 2026 World Cup qualifier on September 9, 2025. Both teams enter the clash in strong form after recent qualifying victories, setting the stage for an exciting encounter in Group D.

Head-to-Head (H2H) Analysis

France are undefeated in their last seven meetings with Iceland, securing five wins and two draws since 1996.
Their last encounter in Paris ended in a 4-0 win for France.
Iceland has never beaten France in official competitions.
Recent meetings have been high-scoring, with at least three goals scored in five of the last six clashes.

Key Stats

France averages 2.3 goals per game against Iceland in official fixtures.
Iceland has lost both previous visits to Paris by three or more goals.
Both teams have scored in 55% of their recent World Cup qualifying matches.

Probable Lineups

France (4-2-3-1):
Maignan; Kounde, Konate, Upamecano, Digne; Tchouameni, Kone; Ekitike, Olise, Barcola; Mbappe

Notable absences: Désiré Doué and Ousmane Dembélé (injured).

Iceland (3-4-3):
Olafsson; Palsson, Ingason, Gretarsson; Thorsteinsson, Thordarson, Johannesson, Ellertsson; Haraldsson, Gudjohnsen, Gudmundsson.

Form Guide

France: Won 6 of their last 9 matches, including a recent 2-0 away win against Ukraine. Kylian Mbappé and Michael Olise are in excellent attacking form.
Iceland: Topped the group after a 5-0 win over Azerbaijan but have only won three of their last ten games overall.

Betting Tips & Odds

France remains a heavy favorite, with most betting models predicting a multi-goal margin.
Over 2.5 goals is a strong trend, seen in 60% of recent matches between the nations.
Suggested Bet: France to win and over 3.5 goals in the match.

Score Prediction

Predicted Score: France 3-1 Iceland
France’s attacking depth and perfect home record against Iceland point toward a decisive victory, although Iceland’s recent goal-scoring uptick makes them a threat to get on the scoresheet.

Key Takeaways:

France boasts a perfect record at home against Iceland.
Both teams come off strong qualifying wins.
Look for plenty of attacking football and a likely French victory by two or more goals.