Italy vs Estonia prediction, H2H and probable line-ups, September 5, 2025

As Italy prepares to host Estonia in the upcoming Euro 2028 qualifiers on September 5, 2025, both teams are eager to secure crucial points early in the campaign. This preview dives deep into their head-to-head record and expected team setups and offers a well-informed prediction to guide bettors and fans alike.

Italy vs Estonia: Match Overview

• Date: September 5, 2025

• Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Italy

• Competition: UEFA Euro 2028 Qualifier

Italy arrives as strong favorites given their rich football heritage and recent form, while Estonia faces an uphill battle to claim any points on foreign soil. Let’s analyze vital statistics and probable lineups to better understand how this fixture could shape up.

Head-to-Head (H2H) Analysis: Italy vs Estonia

The historical record between Italy and Estonia strongly favors the hosts:

• Total Meetings: 6

• Italy Wins: 5

• Draws: 1

• Estonia Wins: 0

• Goals Scored by Italy: 16

• Goals Scored by Estonia: 2

Italy’s dominance is clear in past encounters, often winning comfortably and controlling possession. Estonia has struggled to find their footing against such elite opposition.

Probable Italy Lineup and Tactics

Manager Roberto Mancini is expected to field a balanced 4-3-3 formation featuring a mix of youth and experience:

• Goalkeeper: Gianluigi Donnarumma

• Defenders: Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Leonardo Bonucci, Alessandro Bastoni, Emerson

• Midfield: Marco Verratti, Nicolò Barella, Jorginho

• Forwards: Federico Chiesa, Ciro Immobile, Lorenzo Pellegrini

Italy’s strength lies in their midfield control and dynamic wingers, poised to break down Estonia’s defensive lines. Expect high pressing and swift transitions.

Probable Estonia Lineup and Formation

Estonia will likely deploy a cautious 5-4-1 setup to frustrate Italy and limit space:

• Goalkeeper: Karl Hein

• Defenders: Henrik Ojamaa, Konstantin Vassiljev, Ken Kallaste, Markus Soomets, Karol Mets

• Midfielders: Robert Kirss, Rauno Sappinen, Rauno Alliku, Andrei Stepanov

• Forward: Joonas Tamm

A compact shape and reliance on counterattack will define Estonia’s approach, hoping to capitalize on rare chances.

Key Betting Tips & Match Predictions

• Expected Result: Italy to win comfortably

• Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 goals likely, given Italy’s attacking firepower

• Both Teams to Score:Unlikely, Estonia’s attacks are limited against strong defenses

• First Goal Scorer: Ciro Immobile or Federico Chiesa offer good value

Final Score Prediction

Italy 3 – 0 Estonia

Given Italy’s superior quality and home advantage, a commanding victory is expected. Estonia may hold out briefly, but Italy’s efficient attack combined with disciplined defense should dominate the match.

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Summary: Italy’s dominance in the head-to-head, probable lineups stacked with talent, and strategic game plan make them clear favorites on September 5, 2025. Bettors can confidently back Italy to win with multiple goals while enjoying a competitive, yet one-sided Euro qualifier.