Lesotho vs Malawi prediction, H2H and probable lineups, 15 November 2025

By Author On Nov 15, 2025

Lesotho and Malawi lock horns again this weekend in the 2025 World Cup qualifiers, and honestly, this one feels like it could get tight. Both teams are still trying to find their rhythm in the group, and with points still wide open, nobody wants to slip here. Lesotho will hope home vibes push them forward, while Malawi come in looking a bit more polished but still not the finished product. Expect a tense one.

Form Guide

Lesotho:
Lesotho have been blowing hot and cold lately. Their defence has moments where it looks organised, but once the pressure piles up, they tend to get shaky. Goals have also been tough to come by, and that’s something they absolutely need to fix if they want to stay alive in this qualifying run.

Malawi:
Malawi look the slightly stronger side on paper. They’ve had a few good outings recently, especially with their midfield moving the ball around better. Still, they can be frustrating because they create chances but don’t always convert them. If their attack shows up, they’re definitely the favourites here.

Head-to-Head

When these two meet, it’s usually a cagey one. Malawi have had the upper hand historically, picking up more wins in past clashes, but it’s never a walkover. Lesotho always make it tricky, especially when they’re playing at home. Recent meetings haven’t been high-scoring either, so don’t expect a goal festival.

Team News

Lesotho:
Lesotho’s squad doesn’t have major injury worries this time, which is a relief for them. The coach is expected to stick with a compact setup, trying to frustrate Malawi and hit on the break. The backline will be key because one slip could cost them everything.

Malawi:
Malawi come in with most of their regular starters available. Their midfield trio will probably stay unchanged, and the coach might push the wingers higher up to force mistakes from Lesotho’s defence. Fitness levels look good across the squad.

Players to Watch

Match Prediction

This one feels like a tight call, but Malawi look like they’ve got a bit more balance and firepower. Lesotho at home will fight, though. I’m leaning towards a narrow away win or maybe even a hard-fought draw if Lesotho defend well.

Prediction: Lesotho 0–1 Malawi

Betting Tips

Under 2.5 Goals – These teams rarely produce high-scoring games.
Malawi Double Chance (Win/Draw) – Safer pick based on recent form.
Both Teams NOT to Score – Often one side gets shut out in this fixture.

Wrap-Up

Lesotho and Malawi both need the points, and that urgency should make this a gritty battle. Malawi look slightly stronger, but Lesotho won’t just roll over, especially at home. Expect a tense, low-scoring clash where one moment decides everything.