Milan vs Lecce – Serie A Prediction, Tips & Booking Code (Jan 18, 2026)
AC Milan continues its chase of league leaders Inter as it welcomes struggling Lecce to the San Siro this Sunday night. The Rossoneri are unbeaten at home, while Lecce are fighting to escape relegation. Kick-off is set for 20:45 GMT+1.
Match Overview
- Safe Tip & Booking Code: Milan to Win (W1) – Odds 1.30
- High Risk Tip & Booking Code: Over 2.5 Goals – Odds 1.89
- Winner Odds (1X2): Milan 1.30 | Draw 5.00 | Lecce 11.50
AC Milan – Unbeaten at Home
Milan sits 2nd in Serie A, six points behind rivals Inter. They’ve gone five matches without defeat, scoring nine goals in that run. Their latest victory was a 3-1 win over Como, where Rafael Leão impressed with perfect passing accuracy and an assist, while Adrien Rabiot scored twice and contributed defensively.
Injuries remain a concern, with Strahinja Pavlović and Santiago Gomez sidelined. Still, Milan’s depth and home form make them strong favourites.
Predicted Lineup (3-5-2):
Maignan; Dutu, Gabbia, De Winter; Estupiñan, Ricci, Modrić, Rabiot, Saelemaekers; Pulisic, Leão.
Last 5 Matches:
- Como 1-3 Milan
- Fiorentina 1-1 Milan
- Milan 1-1 Genoa
- Cagliari 0-1 Milan
- Milan 3-0 Verona
Lecce – Defensive Struggles Continue
Lecce are 17th in the table, losing four of their last five games and scoring only twice in that period. Their defence has been shaky, highlighted in their 0-1 loss to Inter, where Jamil Siebert managed just 52% passing accuracy and Tiago Gabriel struggled with long balls.
Suspensions and injuries add to their woes: Kialonda Gaspar is banned, while Christian Fruchtl, Balthazar Pierret, Medon Berisha, and Francesco Camarda are unavailable.
Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1):
Falcone; Gallo, Gabriel, Siebert, Veiga; Maleh, Coulibaly; Sottil, Gandelmann, Pierotti; Štulić.
Last 5 Matches:
- Inter 1-0 Lecce
- Lecce 1-2 Parma
- Lecce 0-2 Roma
- Juventus 1-1 Lecce
- Lecce 0-3 Como
Betting Prediction
- Safe Tip: Milan to Win (W1). With odds of 1.30, this is a banker bet. Milan has never lost to Lecce in their last 14 meetings.
- Correct Score Prediction: Milan 3-0 Lecce.
- High Risk Tip: Over 2.5 Goals. Milan’s attack at home has been prolific, while Lecce’s defence is among the weakest in Serie A.
Head-to-Head (Last 5 Meetings)
- Sep 2025: Milan 3-0 Lecce
- Aug 2025: Lecce 0-2 Milan
- Mar 2025: Lecce 2-3 Milan
- Sep 2024: Milan 3-0 Lecce
- Apr 2024: Milan 3-0 Lecce
Final Word
Milan’s unbeaten home form and Lecce’s defensive frailties point to a comfortable Rossoneri win. Expect goals, with Leão and Rabiot likely to shine again at the San Siro.