Qarabag vs Chelsea prediction, H2H and probable lineups, November 5, 2025

Chelsea are back in European action this Wednesday as they travel to Azerbaijan to face Qarabag in the UEFA Champions League. The Blues have started their campaign strongly and will be looking to tighten their grip at the top of the group. Qarabag, on the other hand, are hoping to pull off an upset at home and keep their qualification dreams alive.

This might look like a one-sided affair on paper, but Qarabag have a knack for frustrating big teams, especially on their turf. Chelsea can’t afford to be complacent here.

Form Guide

Qarabag: The hosts have been solid in their domestic league, picking up four wins in their last five matches. However, the Champions League has been a different story — one point from three games isn’t exactly impressive. They’ll need a near-perfect performance to take something off Chelsea.

Chelsea: The London side are in great form both in Europe and the Premier League. They’ve won their last three matches across all competitions and look confident going forward. New manager Enzo Maresca seems to have found balance in the squad, with both attack and defense clicking nicely.

Head-to-Head

This will be the third meeting between Qarabag and Chelsea in European competition. The English side have won both previous encounters, including a dominant 4-0 win the last time they met in Baku. Qarabag have yet to score against Chelsea — something they’ll definitely want to change this time around.

Team News

Qarabag: The home side are likely to field their strongest possible lineup. Midfielder Qurbanli is expected to start despite a slight knock. Their key striker Juninho is the main threat upfront, while Kady will be the creative engine in midfield.

Chelsea: The Blues will rotate a bit due to their busy schedule. Cole Palmer, Raheem Sterling, and Nicolas Jackson could all feature in attack. Reece James is still out with a hamstring issue, and there’s doubt over Enzo Fernández’s fitness. Expect Maresca to rely on depth, with Gallagher and Mudryk pushing for starts.

Prediction

It’s hard to see anything other than a Chelsea win here. Qarabag might make it tough early on, but the visitors’ quality should shine through eventually.
Prediction: Qarabag 0–2 Chelsea

Players to Watch

Qarabag – Juninho: The Brazilian forward has been in fine form domestically. If Qarabag are to get anything from this, he’ll need to be at his best.

Chelsea – Cole Palmer: The young Englishman has become Chelsea’s creative spark. His link-up play and finishing could make the difference once again.

Betting Tips

• Chelsea to win

• Under 3.5 goals – Qarabag tend to sit deep, so don’t expect a goal fest.

• Cole Palmer to score anytime – decent value given his form.

If you fancy a risk, you can also go for Chelsea to win & both teams to score, just in case Qarabag sneak one in late.

Wrap-Up

Chelsea should have too much firepower for Qarabag, but it’s never easy playing away in Azerbaijan. Expect the Blues to dominate possession and grab a couple of goals while keeping things tight at the back. Qarabag will fight, but Chelsea’s class should see them through comfortably.