Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros
Colombia Primera A
November 9, 2026 at 02:15 · Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
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Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros prediction and betting tip for this Colombia Primera A match, kicking off November 9, 2026 at 02:15 at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X), 90% confidence.
Why we pick: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X)
- Alianza Valledupar are the stronger side on Elo rating (+55).
- Llaneros won just 1 of their last 6 away games.
- Bookmakers agree: 73% chance (margin removed).
Model probability: 70%
Facts from this season's and last season's results. A pick is only made when several of them agree and nothing points the other way. No bet is ever certain — please gamble responsibly (18+).
- Under 3.5 Goals Upcoming
Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros Preview
Alianza Valledupar host Llaneros in the Colombia Primera A (Clausura - 18) on Monday 9 November 2026, kick-off 02:15 WAT at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau in Valledupar.
Alianza Valledupar are 15th in the table with 18 points from 17 games (5-3-9), while Llaneros sit 13th on 20 points. Only 2 points separate them. At home Alianza Valledupar have won 2 of 9; Llaneros have won 1 of 8 on the road.
Alianza Valledupar have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (D-W-W-L-L), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Llaneros have two wins and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-L-L-W), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
In their last 3 meetings Alianza Valledupar have won 2, Llaneros 0, with 1 draw and an average of 1.7 goals per game. The most recent, in April 2026, finished Llaneros 0-0 Alianza Valledupar.
Alianza Valledupar average 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 8 clean sheets and 13 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Llaneros average 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 10 clean sheets and 10 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Bookmakers make Alianza Valledupar the favourites: Alianza Valledupar 2.10, draw 3.10, Llaneros 3.75 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.15 and under at 1.67. Both teams to score: yes 1.83, no 1.83.
Our prediction: Alianza Valledupar or draw (1X). The model gives Alianza Valledupar or a draw a 90% chance, Llaneros have lost 3 of their last 5 and bookmakers make Alianza Valledupar favourites at 2.10.
Primera A table
Clausura
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | +19 | 36 | DWWWL |
| 2 | America de Cali | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | +19 | 35 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | +16 | 33 | WDWDD |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | +9 | 29 | DWLLD |
| 5 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +3 | 29 | WWLLL |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | +5 | 28 | LLWWL |
| 7 | Millonarios | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | +10 | 27 | DDWDD |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 27 | WWDDW |
| 9 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | +1 | 25 | LWWLW |
| 10 | Cucuta | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 24 | WLLWW |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | +1 | 23 | WLLLD |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -3 | 20 | LWLWD |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | -4 | 20 | WLLWL |
| 14 | Chico | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -14 | 19 | WLDWL |
| 15 | Alianza Valledupar | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -12 | 18 | LLWWD |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -9 | 17 | LWDWD |
| 17 | Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -4 | 16 | LDWDD |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -11 | 15 | WLWLL |
| 19 | Jaguares | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -14 | 13 | LLWLL |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -11 | 12 | LLLDL |
Season stats
| Alianza Valledupar | Llaneros | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 36 | 36 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 8 / 11 / 17 | 10 / 12 / 14 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 30 (0.8) | 36 (1.0) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 56 (1.6) | 43 (1.2) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 13 | 10 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 1-0 | 3-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 8 Nov 2026, 01:28. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
Win probability
Our tip: Alianza Valledupar or draw (1X) — The model gives Alianza Valledupar or a draw a 90% chance, Llaneros have lost 3 of their last 5 and bookmakers make Alianza Valledupar favourites at 2.10.
Form (last 5)
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Alianza Valledupar wins 1 draws 0 Llaneros wins last 3 meetings
- Llaneros0 - 0Alianza Valledupar Primera A
- Alianza Valledupar3 - 1Llaneros Primera A
- Llaneros0 - 1Alianza Valledupar Primera A
Statistics: API-Football · updated 8 Nov 2026, 01:27. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).