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Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München

UEFA Champions League

Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
VS
Bayern München Bayern München

November 3, 2026 at 21:00 · Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Upcoming

Predicted Outcome Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2)
Confidence 90%

Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München prediction and betting tip for this UEFA Champions League match, kicking off November 3, 2026 at 21:00 at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Our tip: Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2), 90% confidence.

More tips for this match
  • Both Teams to Score - Yes Upcoming
  • Over 1.5 Goals Upcoming
  • Over 2.5 Goals Upcoming

Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München Preview

Atletico Madrid host Bayern München in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 4) on Tuesday 3 November 2026, kick-off 21:00 WAT at Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid. Francois Letexier is the referee.

Atletico Madrid are 16th in the table with 4 points from 3 games (1-1-1), while Bayern München sit 14th on 5 points. Only 1 point separates them. At home Atletico Madrid have won 1 of 1; Bayern München have won 0 of 1 on the road.

Atletico Madrid have one win, one draw and one defeat in their last 3 league games (L-W-D), averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Bayern München have one win and two draws in their last 3 league games (W-D-D), averaging 3.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded.

In their last 6 meetings Atletico Madrid have won 2, Bayern München 3, with 1 draw and an average of 2.0 goals per game. The most recent, in December 2020, finished Atletico Madrid 1-1 Bayern Munich.

Atletico Madrid average 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet, usually in a 4-4-2. Bayern München average 3.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet, usually in a 4-2-3-1.

Atletico Madrid will be without J. Cardoso (thigh injury), M. Hjulmand (red card) and Koke (muscle injury). Bayern München will be without T. Buchmann (knee injury), L. Diaz (muscle injury), J. Musiala (muscle injury) and M. Neuer (foot injury), and S. Gnabry (injury), M. Olise (injury) and I. Saibari (injury) are doubtful.

Players to watch: H. Kane leads Bayern München's scoring with 4 goals and 2 assists.

Bookmakers make Bayern München the favourites: Atletico Madrid 2.70, draw 4.00, Bayern München 2.20 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.40 and under at 3.00. Both teams to score: yes 1.36, no 3.00.

Our prediction: Bayern München or draw (X2). The model gives Bayern München or a draw a 90% chance, bookmakers make Bayern München favourites at 2.20 and Bayern München have won 3 of the last 6 meetings.

Team news

Atletico Madrid
  • Out J. Cardoso Thigh Injury
  • Out M. Hjulmand Red Card
  • Out Koke Muscle Injury
Bayern München
  • Out T. Buchmann Knee Injury
  • Out L. Diaz Muscle Injury
  • Out J. Musiala Muscle Injury
  • Out M. Neuer Foot Injury
  • Doubtful S. Gnabry Injury
  • Doubtful M. Olise Injury
  • Doubtful I. Saibari Injury

UEFA Champions League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
14Bayern München3120+55
16Atletico Madrid3111+14

Season stats

Atletico MadridBayern München
Played33
Won / Drawn / Lost1 / 1 / 11 / 2 / 0
Goals scored (per game)4 (1.3)10 (3.3)
Goals conceded (per game)3 (1.0)5 (1.7)
Scored at home / away (per game)2.0 / 1.03.5 / 3.0
Clean sheets11
Failed to score00
Longest winning run11
Biggest win2-05-0
Usual formation4-4-24-2-3-1

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

No player in the league's top scorers list.

Bayern München
  • H. Kane 4 goals · 2 assists

Odds (Bet365)

Atletico Madrid2.70 Draw4.00 Bayern München2.20 1X1.67 121.22 X21.40 Over 1.51.12 Under 1.56.00 Over 3.52.00 Under 3.51.80 Over 2.51.40 Under 2.53.00 BTTS Yes1.36 BTTS No3.00

Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.

Data: API-Football · updated 2 Nov 2026, 04:30. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

Win probability

Atletico Madrid 10% Draw 45% Bayern München 45%

Our tip: Bayern München or draw (X2) — The model gives Bayern München or a draw a 90% chance, bookmakers make Bayern München favourites at 2.20 and Bayern München have won 3 of the last 6 meetings.

Form (last 5)

Atletico Madrid LWD 1.3 scored · 1.0 conceded per game
Bayern München WDD 3.3 scored · 1.7 conceded per game

Team comparison

Atletico MadridBayern München
44% 56% Form
29% 71% Attack
63% 38% Defence
100% 0% Poisson
29% 71% Head-to-head
27% 73% Goals
38% 62% Overall

Head-to-head

2 Atletico Madrid wins 1 draws 3 Bayern München wins last 6 meetings

  • Atletico Madrid1 - 1Bayern Munich UEFA Champions League
  • Bayern Munich4 - 0Atletico Madrid UEFA Champions League
  • Bayern Munich1 - 0Atletico Madrid UEFA Champions League
  • Atletico Madrid1 - 0Bayern Munich UEFA Champions League
  • Bayern Munich2 - 1Atletico Madrid UEFA Champions League
  • Atletico Madrid1 - 0Bayern Munich UEFA Champions League

Statistics: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 21:31. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).

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Written by Edward Promise

Edward Promise helps Nigerian bettors make smarter decisions. Since 2017, he has tested and reviewed 30+ sportsbooks and online casinos, analysing bonuses, payout speeds, and odds value so readers know exactly what to expect before signing up. His match previews and predictions cover the Premier League, Champions League, and other top European competitions. He always encourages readers to bet responsibly and only stake what they can afford to lose.