Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin
Colombia Primera A
Atletico Nacional
Independiente Medellin
October 26, 2026 at 00:10 · Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Won
Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin prediction and betting tip for this Colombia Primera A match, kicking off October 26, 2026 at 00:10 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X). Final score: 2-1 (0-1). The tip won.
- Under 3.5 Goals Won
Atletico Nacional 2-1 Independiente Medellin: Match Report
Atletico Nacional beat Independiente Medellin 2-1 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot in the Colombia Primera A on Monday, coming from behind. Independiente Medellin led 1-0 at half-time.
A. Simarra opened the scoring for Independiente Medellin on 29 minutes. E. Cardona levelled for Atletico Nacional on 53 minutes, set up by E. Cabrera. A. Sarmiento won it for Atletico Nacional on 73 minutes, set up by S. Velasquez.
Atletico Nacional had 61% of the ball and 8 shots (5 on target) to Independiente Medellin's 11 (3). Expected goals finished Atletico Nacional 1.69, Independiente Medellin 1.45, a close game on chances.
Referee Jonnathan Ortiz showed 4 yellow cards.
Our tip, Atletico Nacional or draw (1X), won as Atletico Nacional won.
Goals & cards
- 20' H. Loboa Independiente Medellin · Yellow Card
- 29' A. Simarra Independiente Medellin
- 32' E. Cardona Atletico Nacional · Yellow Card
- 41' L. Escorcia Independiente Medellin · Yellow Card
- 45+1' D. Moreno Independiente Medellin · Yellow Card
- 53' E. Cardona Atletico Nacional · assist E. Cabrera
- 73' A. Sarmiento Atletico Nacional · assist S. Velasquez
Match stats
Before the match
Atletico Nacional hosted Independiente Medellin in the Colombia Primera A (Clausura - 16) on Monday 26 October 2026, kick-off 00:10 WAT at Estadio Atanasio Girardot in Medellin. Jonnathan Ortiz was the referee.
Atletico Nacional are 3rd in the table with 29 points from 14 games (9-2-3), while Independiente Medellin sit 7th on 23 points. Atletico Nacional have a 6-point advantage. At home Atletico Nacional have won 4 of 6; Independiente Medellin have won 3 of 6 on the road.
Atletico Nacional have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-D-W-L-W), averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Independiente Medellin have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-D-L-W-L), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Atletico Nacional have won 4, Independiente Medellin 0, with 2 draws and an average of 2.3 goals per game. The most recent, in October 2026, finished Atletico Nacional 3-2 Independiente Medellin.
Atletico Nacional average 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 13 clean sheets and 11 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Independiente Medellin average 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 7 clean sheets and 6 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
Players to watch: A. Morelos leads Atletico Nacional's scoring with 14 goals and 6 assists.
Line-ups: Atletico Nacional lined up in a 4-4-2, Independiente Medellin in a 4-4-2.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Atletico Nacional the favourites: Atletico Nacional 1.73, draw 3.80, Independiente Medellin 4.50 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.73 and under at 2.08. Both teams to score: yes 1.67, no 2.10.
Our prediction was Atletico Nacional or draw (1X). The model gives Atletico Nacional or a draw a 100% chance, Atletico Nacional have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 3rd, 4 places above Independiente Medellin.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico Nacional | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +16 | 29 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 23 |
Season stats
| Atletico Nacional | Independiente Medellin | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 39 | 33 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 27 / 3 / 9 | 14 / 7 / 12 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 77 (2.0) | 47 (1.4) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 33 (0.8) | 43 (1.3) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.4 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 13 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 11 | 6 |
| Longest winning run | 5 | 3 |
| Biggest win | 7-1 | 2-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- A. Morelos 14 goals · 6 assists
- A. Sarmiento 10 goals · 6 assists
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
Franco Armani, Andrés Román, Neider Parra, William Tesillo, Samuel Velásquez, Elías Cabrera, Jorman Campuzano, Matheus Uribe, Felipe Marin, Edwin Cardona, James Rodríguez
Salvador Ichazo, Esneyder Mena, Luis Escorcia, Alfonso Simarra, Frank Fabra, Yony González, Didier Moreno, Halam Loboa, John Edwin Montaño, Agustín Martegani, Carlos Lucumi
Data: API-Football · updated 26 Oct 2026, 02:30. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
Win probability
Our tip: Atletico Nacional or draw (1X) — The model gives Atletico Nacional or a draw a 100% chance, Atletico Nacional have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 3rd, 4 places above Independiente Medellin.
Form (last 5)
Atletico Nacional
WDWLW
2.0 scored · 0.6 conceded per game
Independiente Medellin
LDLWL
0.8 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
4 Atletico Nacional wins 2 draws 0 Independiente Medellin wins last 6 meetings
- Atletico Nacional3 - 2Independiente Medellin Copa Colombia
- Independiente Medellin2 - 3Atletico Nacional Primera A
- Independiente Medellin0 - 1Atletico Nacional Copa Colombia
- Atletico Nacional0 - 0Independiente Medellin Copa Colombia
- Atletico Nacional2 - 1Independiente Medellin Primera A
- Independiente Medellin0 - 0Atletico Nacional Primera A
Statistics: API-Football · updated 25 Oct 2026, 19:30. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).