Barcelona vs Real Madrid
Spain La Liga
Barcelona
Real Madrid
October 25, 2026 at 21:00 · Spotify Camp Nou
Lost
Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction and betting tip for this Spain La Liga match, kicking off October 25, 2026 at 21:00 at Spotify Camp Nou. Our tip: Home Win, 45% confidence. Final score: 1-2 (0-1). The tip lost.
- Both Teams to Score - Yes Won
Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid: Match Report
Real Madrid won 2-1 away at Barcelona in the Spain La Liga on Sunday, with a late winner. Real Madrid led 1-0 at half-time.
Kylian Mbappé opened the scoring for Real Madrid on 41 minutes. Raphael Dias Belloli levelled for Barcelona on 61 minutes, set up by Pedri. Kylian Mbappé won it for Real Madrid on 87 minutes, set up by Eduardo Camavinga.
Barcelona had 62% of the ball and 18 shots (6 on target) to Real Madrid's 10 (5). Expected goals finished Barcelona 1.27, Real Madrid 2.01, so Real Madrid deserved the win.
Referee Juan Martinez Munuera showed 6 yellow cards.
Our tip, Barcelona to win (1), lost as Real Madrid won.
Goals & cards
- 41' Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid
- 46' Aurelien Tchouameni Real Madrid · Yellow Card
- 61' Raphael Dias Belloli Barcelona · assist Pedri
- 84' Anthony Gordon Barcelona · Yellow Card
- 87' Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid · assist Eduardo Camavinga
- 90+2' Marc Cucurella Real Madrid · Yellow Card
- 90+4' Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid · Yellow Card
- 90+6' Karim Adeyemi Barcelona · Yellow Card
- 90+6' Alejandro Balde Barcelona · Yellow Card
Match stats
Before the match
Barcelona hosted Real Madrid in the Spain La Liga (matchday 10) on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 21:00 WAT at Spotify Camp Nou in Barcelona. Juan Martinez Munuera was the referee.
Barcelona are 1st in the table with 27 points from 9 games (9-0-0), while Real Madrid sit 3rd on 21 points. Barcelona have a 6-point advantage. At home Barcelona have won 4 of 4; Real Madrid have won 2 of 4 on the road.
Barcelona have five wins in their last 5 league games (W-W-W-W-W), averaging 4.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Real Madrid have four wins and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-W-L-W-W), averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Barcelona have won 5, Real Madrid 1, with 0 draws and an average of 4.8 goals per game. The most recent, in May 2026, finished Barcelona 2-0 Real Madrid.
Barcelona average 4.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets, usually in a 4-3-3. Real Madrid average 2.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
Barcelona will be without R. Bardghji (knee injury), A. Christensen (muscle injury), E. Garcia (muscle injury), J. Kounde (ankle injury) and D. Olmo (groin injury). Real Madrid will be without R. Asencio (broken leg), F. Mendy (hip injury), Rodrygo (knee injury) and Vinicius Junior (red card).
Players to watch: Raphinha leads Barcelona's scoring with 12 goals and 3 assists; Kylian Mbappé leads Real Madrid's scoring with 9 goals and 2 assists.
Line-ups: Barcelona lined up in a 4-3-3, Real Madrid in a 4-2-3-1.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Barcelona the favourites: Barcelona 1.57, draw 5.75, Real Madrid 4.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.20 and under at 4.50. Both teams to score: yes 1.28, no 3.50.
Our prediction was Barcelona to win (1). The model makes Barcelona favourites at 45%, Barcelona have won 5 of their last 5 and they have won 4 of 4 at home.
Team news
- Out R. Bardghji Knee Injury
- Out A. Christensen Muscle Injury
- Out E. Garcia Muscle Injury
- Out J. Kounde Ankle Injury
- Out D. Olmo Groin Injury
- Out R. Asencio Broken Leg
- Out F. Mendy Hip Injury
- Out Rodrygo Knee Injury
- Out Vinicius Junior Red Card
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +30 | 27 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +14 | 21 |
Season stats
| Barcelona | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 9 | 9 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 9 / 0 / 0 | 7 / 0 / 2 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 39 (4.3) | 23 (2.6) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 9 (1.0) | 9 (1.0) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 4.3 / 4.4 | 3.4 / 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
| Longest winning run | 9 | 3 |
| Biggest win | 7-2 | 4-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-3-3 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- Raphinha 12 goals · 3 assists
- Lamine Yamal 8 goals · 6 assists
- Fermín 4 goals · 3 assists
- Kylian Mbappé 9 goals · 2 assists
- J. Bellingham 3 goals · 3 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
Joan García, X. Espart, Pau Cubarsí Paredes, Gerard Martín, João Cancelo, Fermín, Rodri, Pedri, Lamine Yamal, Raphinha, A. Gordon
Coach: H. Flick
A. Lunin, F. Valverde, I. Konaté, D. Huijsen, Marc Cucurella, Bernardo Silva, A. Tchouaméni, A. Güler, J. Bellingham, Y. Diomande, Kylian Mbappé
Coach: José Mourinho
Data: API-Football · updated 25 Oct 2026, 23:30. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
Win probability
Our tip: Barcelona to win (1) — The model makes Barcelona favourites at 45%, Barcelona have won 5 of their last 5 and they have won 4 of 4 at home.
Form (last 5)
Barcelona
WWWWW
4.4 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Real Madrid
WWLWW
2.6 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
5 Barcelona wins 0 draws 1 Real Madrid wins last 6 meetings
- Barcelona2 - 0Real Madrid La Liga
- Barcelona3 - 2Real Madrid Super Cup
- Real Madrid2 - 1Barcelona La Liga
- Barcelona4 - 3Real Madrid La Liga
- Barcelona3 - 2Real Madrid Copa del Rey
- Real Madrid2 - 5Barcelona Super Cup
Statistics: API-Football · updated 25 Oct 2026, 09:11. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
