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Benfica vs Lech Poznan

UEFA Europa League

Benfica Benfica
VS
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan

November 5, 2026 at 21:00 · Estádio da Luz

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Predicted Outcome Over 1.5 Goals

Benfica vs Lech Poznan prediction and betting tip for this UEFA Europa League match, kicking off November 5, 2026 at 21:00 at Estádio da Luz. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals.

More tips for this match
  • Over 2.5 Goals Upcoming

Benfica vs Lech Poznan Preview

Benfica host Lech Poznan in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 4) on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 21:00 WAT at Estádio da Luz in Lisbon. Martin Matosa is the referee.

Benfica are 1st in the table with 9 points from 3 games (3-0-0), while Lech Poznan sit 32nd on 1 points. Benfica have a 8-point advantage. At home Benfica have won 1 of 1; Lech Poznan have won 0 of 1 on the road.

Benfica have five wins in their last 5 league games (W-W-W-W-W), averaging 3.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Lech Poznan have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-D-L-L-D), averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded.

In their last 2 meetings Benfica have won 2, Lech Poznan 0, with 0 draws and an average of 5.0 goals per game. The most recent, in December 2020, finished Benfica 4-0 Lech Poznan.

Benfica average 3.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Lech Poznan average 2.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.

Benfica will be without L. Barreiro (inactive) and E. Barrenechea (injury), and D. Lukebakio (injury) is doubtful. Lech Poznan will be without A. Douglas (ankle injury), A. Gholizadeh (knee injury), M. Ishak (inactive), W. Monka (injury), J. Moutinho (inactive) and A. Sayyadmanesh (groin injury).

Players to watch: V. Pavlidis leads Benfica's scoring with 2 goals.

Bookmakers make Benfica the favourites: Benfica 1.14, draw 8.00, Lech Poznan 19.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.33 and under at 3.40. Both teams to score: yes 1.95, no 1.80.

Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 4.0 goals, recent form points to 4.1 goals a game and bookmakers price over 1.5 at 1.10.

Team news

Benfica
  • Out L. Barreiro Inactive
  • Out E. Barrenechea Injury
  • Doubtful D. Lukebakio Injury
Lech Poznan
  • Out A. Douglas Ankle Injury
  • Out A. Gholizadeh Knee Injury
  • Out M. Ishak Inactive
  • Out W. Monka Injury
  • Out J. Moutinho Inactive
  • Out A. Sayyadmanesh Groin Injury

UEFA Europa League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Benfica3300+89
32Lech Poznan3012-81

Season stats

BenficaLech Poznan
Played97
Won / Drawn / Lost7 / 1 / 13 / 2 / 2
Goals scored (per game)29 (3.2)16 (2.3)
Goals conceded (per game)8 (0.9)11 (1.6)
Scored at home / away (per game)4.5 / 2.22.3 / 2.3
Clean sheets23
Failed to score02
Longest winning run23
Biggest win6-17-0
Usual formation4-2-3-14-2-3-1

Top scorers

Benfica
  • V. Pavlidis 2 goals · 0 assists
Lech Poznan

No player in the league's top scorers list.

Odds (Bet365)

Benfica1.14 Draw8.00 Lech Poznan19.00 1X1.02 121.08 X25.50 Over 1.51.10 Under 1.57.00 Over 3.51.80 Under 3.52.00 Over 2.51.33 Under 2.53.40 BTTS Yes1.95 BTTS No1.80

Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.

Data: API-Football · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

Win probability

Benfica 50% Draw 50% Lech Poznan 0%

Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 4.0 goals, recent form points to 4.1 goals a game and bookmakers price over 1.5 at 1.10.

Form (last 5)

Benfica WWWWW 3.2 scored · 0.8 conceded per game
Lech Poznan WDLLD 2.0 scored · 2.2 conceded per game

Team comparison

BenficaLech Poznan
75% 25% Form
62% 38% Attack
73% 27% Defence
80% 20% Poisson
100% 0% Head-to-head
80% 20% Goals
74% 26% Overall

Head-to-head

2 Benfica wins 0 draws 0 Lech Poznan wins last 2 meetings

  • Benfica4 - 0Lech Poznan UEFA Europa League
  • Lech Poznan2 - 4Benfica UEFA Europa League

Statistics: API-Football · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:10. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).