FC Thun vs FC Lugano
Switzerland Super League
October 25, 2026 at 14:00 · Cornaredo
Won
FC Thun vs FC Lugano prediction and betting tip for this Switzerland Super League match, kicking off October 25, 2026 at 14:00 at Cornaredo. Our tip: Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2). Final score: 2-3 (1-1). The tip won.
FC Thun 2-3 FC Lugano: Match Report
FC Lugano won 3-2 away at FC Thun in the Switzerland Super League on Sunday. It was 1-1 at the break.
Dereck Moncada opened the scoring for FC Lugano on 34 minutes, set up by Hannes Delcroix. Nassim Zoukit levelled for FC Thun on 37 minutes. Uran Bislimi put FC Lugano in front on 49 minutes, set up by Daniel Dos Santos Correia. Albian Ajeti made it 1-3 on 76 minutes, set up by Lars Lukas Mai. Riccardo Braschi pulled one back for FC Thun on 88 minutes from the penalty spot.
FC Thun had 52% of the ball and 17 shots (9 on target) to FC Lugano's 19 (6). Expected goals finished FC Thun 1.9, FC Lugano 1.7, a close game on chances.
There were 4 yellow cards.
Our tip, FC Lugano or draw (X2), won as FC Lugano won.
Goals & cards
- 34' Dereck Moncada FC Lugano · assist Hannes Delcroix
- 37' Nassim Zoukit FC Thun
- 38' Elias Pihlstrom FC Lugano · Yellow Card
- 44' Damian Kelvin FC Lugano · Yellow Card
- 49' Uran Bislimi FC Lugano · assist Daniel Dos Santos Correia
- 52' Nico Maier FC Thun · Yellow Card
- 76' Albian Ajeti FC Lugano · assist Lars Lukas Mai
- 85' Fabio Fehr FC Thun · Yellow Card
- 88' Riccardo Braschi FC Thun · Penalty
Match stats
Before the match
FC Thun hosted FC Lugano in the Switzerland Super League (matchday 11) on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 WAT at Cornaredo in Lugano.
FC Thun are 9th in the table with 10 points from 10 games (3-1-6), while FC Lugano sit 1st on 28 points. FC Lugano have a 18-point advantage. At home FC Thun have won 0 of 4; FC Lugano have won 4 of 4 on the road.
FC Thun have one win and four defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-W-L), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. FC Lugano have four wins and one draw in their last 5 league games (W-D-W-W-W), averaging 3.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings FC Thun have won 1, FC Lugano 4, with 1 draw and an average of 2.5 goals per game. The most recent, in April 2026, finished FC Thun 0-1 FC Lugano.
FC Thun average 1.7 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2. FC Lugano average 3.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets, usually in a 3-5-2.
Players to watch: D. Moncada leads FC Lugano's scoring with 4 goals and 1 assist.
Line-ups: FC Thun lined up in a 4-4-2, FC Lugano in a 3-4-1-2.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made FC Lugano the favourites: FC Thun 3.90, draw 3.90, FC Lugano 1.80 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.40 and under at 2.88. Both teams to score: yes 1.40, no 2.75.
Our prediction was FC Lugano or draw (X2). The model gives FC Lugano or a draw a 100% chance, FC Lugano have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 8 places above FC Thun.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +24 | 28 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
Season stats
| FC Thun | FC Lugano | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 10 | 10 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 3 / 1 / 6 | 9 / 1 / 0 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 17 (1.7) | 31 (3.1) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 27 (2.7) | 7 (0.7) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 0.5 / 2.5 | 3.0 / 3.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 0 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 6 |
| Biggest win | 1-3 | 5-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-4-2 | 3-5-2 |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- D. Moncada 4 goals · 1 assist
- Daniel Dos Santos 4 goals · 0 assists
- E. Pihlström 3 goals · 1 assist
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
N. Steffen, F. Fehr, L. Passavant, N. Bürgy, T. Strannegård, N. Reichmuth, J. Roth, N. Zoukit, N. Maier, F. Dursun, B. Labeau
Coach: Gian Luca Privitelli
D. von Ballmoos, D. Kelvin, L. Mai, H. Delcroix, B. Karimov, U. Bislimi, A. Grgić, Y. Cimignani, D. Moncada, K. Behrens, E. Pihlström
Coach: M. Croci-Torti
Data: API-Football · updated 25 Oct 2026, 16:31. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
Win probability
Our tip: FC Lugano or draw (X2) — The model gives FC Lugano or a draw a 100% chance, FC Lugano have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 8 places above FC Thun.
Form (last 5)
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 FC Thun wins 1 draws 4 FC Lugano wins last 6 meetings
- FC Thun0 - 1FC Lugano Super League
- FC Lugano1 - 0FC Thun Super League
- FC Thun0 - 1FC Lugano Super League
- FC Lugano1 - 2FC Thun Super League
- FC Thun3 - 4FC Lugano Schweizer Cup
- FC Lugano1 - 1FC Thun Super League
Statistics: API-Football · updated 25 Oct 2026, 11:30. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).