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FC Thun vs FC Lugano

Switzerland Super League

FC Thun FC Thun
VS
FC Lugano FC Lugano

October 25, 2026 at 14:00 · Cornaredo

Won

Predicted Outcome Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2)
Final Score 2-3 (1-1)

FC Thun vs FC Lugano prediction and betting tip for this Switzerland Super League match, kicking off October 25, 2026 at 14:00 at Cornaredo. Our tip: Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2). Final score: 2-3 (1-1). The tip won.

FC Thun 2-3 FC Lugano: Match Report

FC Lugano won 3-2 away at FC Thun in the Switzerland Super League on Sunday. It was 1-1 at the break.

Dereck Moncada opened the scoring for FC Lugano on 34 minutes, set up by Hannes Delcroix. Nassim Zoukit levelled for FC Thun on 37 minutes. Uran Bislimi put FC Lugano in front on 49 minutes, set up by Daniel Dos Santos Correia. Albian Ajeti made it 1-3 on 76 minutes, set up by Lars Lukas Mai. Riccardo Braschi pulled one back for FC Thun on 88 minutes from the penalty spot.

FC Thun had 52% of the ball and 17 shots (9 on target) to FC Lugano's 19 (6). Expected goals finished FC Thun 1.9, FC Lugano 1.7, a close game on chances.

There were 4 yellow cards.

Our tip, FC Lugano or draw (X2), won as FC Lugano won.

Goals & cards

  • 34' Dereck Moncada FC Lugano · assist Hannes Delcroix
  • 37' Nassim Zoukit FC Thun
  • 38' Elias Pihlstrom FC Lugano · Yellow Card
  • 44' Damian Kelvin FC Lugano · Yellow Card
  • 49' Uran Bislimi FC Lugano · assist Daniel Dos Santos Correia
  • 52' Nico Maier FC Thun · Yellow Card
  • 76' Albian Ajeti FC Lugano · assist Lars Lukas Mai
  • 85' Fabio Fehr FC Thun · Yellow Card
  • 88' Riccardo Braschi FC Thun · Penalty

Match stats

FC ThunFC Lugano
52% 48% Possession
1.9 1.7 Expected goals (xG)
17 19 Shots
9 6 Shots on target
6 2 Corners
3 7 Saves
15 15 Fouls
6 3 Offsides
2 2 Yellow cards
0 0 Red cards

Before the match

FC Thun hosted FC Lugano in the Switzerland Super League (matchday 11) on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 WAT at Cornaredo in Lugano.

FC Thun are 9th in the table with 10 points from 10 games (3-1-6), while FC Lugano sit 1st on 28 points. FC Lugano have a 18-point advantage. At home FC Thun have won 0 of 4; FC Lugano have won 4 of 4 on the road.

FC Thun have one win and four defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-W-L), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. FC Lugano have four wins and one draw in their last 5 league games (W-D-W-W-W), averaging 3.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.

In their last 6 meetings FC Thun have won 1, FC Lugano 4, with 1 draw and an average of 2.5 goals per game. The most recent, in April 2026, finished FC Thun 0-1 FC Lugano.

FC Thun average 1.7 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2. FC Lugano average 3.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets, usually in a 3-5-2.

Players to watch: D. Moncada leads FC Lugano's scoring with 4 goals and 1 assist.

Line-ups: FC Thun lined up in a 4-4-2, FC Lugano in a 3-4-1-2.

Before kick-off, bookmakers made FC Lugano the favourites: FC Thun 3.90, draw 3.90, FC Lugano 1.80 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.40 and under at 2.88. Both teams to score: yes 1.40, no 2.75.

Our prediction was FC Lugano or draw (X2). The model gives FC Lugano or a draw a 100% chance, FC Lugano have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 8 places above FC Thun.

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano10910+2428
9FC Thun10316-1010

Season stats

FC ThunFC Lugano
Played1010
Won / Drawn / Lost3 / 1 / 69 / 1 / 0
Goals scored (per game)17 (1.7)31 (3.1)
Goals conceded (per game)27 (2.7)7 (0.7)
Scored at home / away (per game)0.5 / 2.53.0 / 3.3
Clean sheets14
Failed to score30
Longest winning run16
Biggest win1-35-0
Usual formation4-4-23-5-2

Top scorers

FC Thun

No player in the league's top scorers list.

FC Lugano
  • D. Moncada 4 goals · 1 assist
  • Daniel Dos Santos 4 goals · 0 assists
  • E. Pihlström 3 goals · 1 assist

Odds (Bet365)

FC Thun3.90 Draw3.90 FC Lugano1.80 1X1.95 121.25 X21.25 Over 1.51.11 Under 1.56.50 Over 3.51.91 Under 3.51.80 Over 2.51.40 Under 2.52.88 BTTS Yes1.40 BTTS No2.75

Odds before kick-off.

Starting line-ups

FC Thun (4-4-2)

N. Steffen, F. Fehr, L. Passavant, N. Bürgy, T. Strannegård, N. Reichmuth, J. Roth, N. Zoukit, N. Maier, F. Dursun, B. Labeau

Coach: Gian Luca Privitelli

FC Lugano (3-4-1-2)

D. von Ballmoos, D. Kelvin, L. Mai, H. Delcroix, B. Karimov, U. Bislimi, A. Grgić, Y. Cimignani, D. Moncada, K. Behrens, E. Pihlström

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Data: API-Football · updated 25 Oct 2026, 16:31. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

Win probability

FC Thun 0% Draw 50% FC Lugano 50%

Our tip: FC Lugano or draw (X2) — The model gives FC Lugano or a draw a 100% chance, FC Lugano have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 8 places above FC Thun.

Form (last 5)

FC Thun LLLWL 1.6 scored · 2.6 conceded per game
FC Lugano WDWWW 3.4 scored · 0.8 conceded per game

Team comparison

FC ThunFC Lugano
19% 81% Form
32% 68% Attack
24% 76% Defence
4% 96% Poisson
20% 80% Head-to-head
38% 62% Goals
23% 77% Overall

Head-to-head

1 FC Thun wins 1 draws 4 FC Lugano wins last 6 meetings

  • FC Thun0 - 1FC Lugano Super League
  • FC Lugano1 - 0FC Thun Super League
  • FC Thun0 - 1FC Lugano Super League
  • FC Lugano1 - 2FC Thun Super League
  • FC Thun3 - 4FC Lugano Schweizer Cup
  • FC Lugano1 - 1FC Thun Super League

Statistics: API-Football · updated 25 Oct 2026, 11:30. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).