Fiorentina vs Atalanta
Italy Serie A
Fiorentina
Atalanta
October 29, 2026 at 20:45 · Stadio Artemio Franchi
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Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction and betting tip for this Italy Serie A match, kicking off October 29, 2026 at 20:45 at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Our tip: Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2), 90% confidence.
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Preview
Fiorentina host Atalanta in the Italy Serie A (matchday 9) on Thursday 29 October 2026, kick-off 20:45 WAT at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence.
Fiorentina are 18th in the table with 4 points from 7 games (1-1-5), while Atalanta sit 11th on 9 points. Atalanta have a 5-point advantage. At home Fiorentina have won 0 of 4; Atalanta have won 0 of 3 on the road.
Fiorentina have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-D-L-L), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Atalanta have one win and four defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-W-L), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Fiorentina have won 2, Atalanta 3, with 1 draw and an average of 3.3 goals per game. The most recent, in May 2026, finished Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta.
Fiorentina average 1.1 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Atalanta average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: Franco Mastantuono leads Fiorentina's scoring with 3 goals; N. Krstović leads Atalanta's scoring with 4 goals and 1 assist.
Bookmakers make Fiorentina the favourites: Fiorentina 2.30, draw 3.40, Atalanta 3.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.73 and under at 2.10. Both teams to score: yes 1.57, no 2.25.
Our prediction: Atalanta or draw (X2). The model gives Atalanta or a draw a 90% chance, Fiorentina have lost 3 of their last 5 and Atalanta sit 11th, 7 places above Fiorentina.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
Season stats
| Fiorentina | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 7 | 7 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 1 / 1 / 5 | 3 / 0 / 4 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 8 (1.1) | 10 (1.4) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 17 (2.4) | 11 (1.6) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 0.8 / 1.7 | 1.8 / 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 2-4 | 3-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-3-3 |
Top scorers
- Franco Mastantuono 3 goals · 0 assists
- N. Krstović 4 goals · 1 assist
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 22 Oct 2026, 17:10. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
Win probability
Our tip: Atalanta or draw (X2) — The model gives Atalanta or a draw a 90% chance, Fiorentina have lost 3 of their last 5 and Atalanta sit 11th, 7 places above Fiorentina.
Form (last 5)
Fiorentina
LWDLL
1.6 scored · 2.0 conceded per game
Atalanta
LLLWL
1.4 scored · 2.0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Fiorentina wins 1 draws 3 Atalanta wins last 6 meetings
- Fiorentina1 - 1Atalanta Serie A
- Atalanta2 - 0Fiorentina Serie A
- Fiorentina1 - 0Atalanta Serie A
- Atalanta3 - 2Fiorentina Serie A
- Atalanta2 - 3Fiorentina Serie A
- Atalanta4 - 1Fiorentina Coppa Italia
Statistics: API-Football · updated 22 Oct 2026, 17:09. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
