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Flamengo vs Gremio

Brazil Serie A

Flamengo Flamengo
VS
Gremio Gremio

November 4, 2026 at 23:30 · Estádio do Maracanã

Upcoming

Predicted Outcome Over 1.5 Goals

Flamengo vs Gremio prediction and betting tip for this Brazil Serie A match, kicking off November 4, 2026 at 23:30 at Estádio do Maracanã. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals.

More tips for this match
  • Over 2.5 Goals Upcoming

Flamengo vs Gremio Preview

Flamengo host Gremio in the Brazil Serie A (matchday 34) on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kick-off 23:30 WAT at Estádio do Maracanã in Rio de Janeiro. P. Zanovelli is the referee.

Flamengo are 1st in the table with 73 points from 33 games (22-7-4), while Gremio sit 15th on 37 points. Flamengo have a 36-point advantage. At home Flamengo have won 12 of 16; Gremio have won 1 of 16 on the road.

Flamengo have four wins and one draw in their last 5 league games (D-W-W-W-W), averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Gremio have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (D-D-L-W-W), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.

In their last 6 meetings Flamengo have won 3, Gremio 2, with 1 draw and an average of 3.0 goals per game. The most recent, in May 2026, finished Gremio 0-1 Flamengo.

Flamengo average 2.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 14 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Gremio average 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 8 clean sheets and 10 games without scoring, usually in a 4-1-4-1.

Flamengo will be without Danilo (jaw injury), S. Niguez (muscle injury), G. Plata (yellow cards) and A. Valencia (eye injury), and Lucas Paqueta (injury) is doubtful. Gremio will be without Carlos Vinicius (yellow cards), Danilo Barbosa (injury), Diego Caito (muscle injury), J. Nardoni (inactive), C. Pavon (muscle injury) and Weverton (yellow cards), and J. Cabral (muscle injury) is doubtful.

Players to watch: Pedro leads Flamengo's scoring with 18 goals and 6 assists; Carlos Vinícius leads Gremio's scoring with 11 goals and 1 assist.

Bookmakers make Flamengo the favourites: Flamengo 1.17, draw 7.50, Gremio 15.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.36 and under at 3.10. Both teams to score: yes 1.95, no 1.80.

Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.7 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.0 goals and recent form points to 3.1 goals a game.

Team news

Flamengo
  • Out Danilo Jaw injury
  • Out S. Niguez Muscle Injury
  • Out G. Plata Yellow Cards
  • Out A. Valencia Eye injury
  • Doubtful Lucas Paqueta Injury
Gremio
  • Out Carlos Vinicius Yellow Cards
  • Out Danilo Barbosa Injury
  • Out Diego Caito Muscle Injury
  • Out J. Nardoni Inactive
  • Out C. Pavon Muscle Injury
  • Out Weverton Yellow Cards
  • Doubtful J. Cabral Muscle Injury

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo332274+4073
15Gremio3391014-737

Season stats

FlamengoGremio
Played3333
Won / Drawn / Lost22 / 7 / 49 / 10 / 14
Goals scored (per game)68 (2.1)37 (1.1)
Goals conceded (per game)28 (0.8)44 (1.3)
Scored at home / away (per game)2.0 / 2.11.6 / 0.6
Clean sheets148
Failed to score210
Longest winning run51
Biggest win3-05-3
Usual formation4-2-3-14-1-4-1

Top scorers

Flamengo
  • Pedro 18 goals · 6 assists
  • Samuel Lino 11 goals · 9 assists
Gremio
  • Carlos Vinícius 11 goals · 1 assist

Odds (Bet365)

Flamengo1.17 Draw7.50 Gremio15.00 1X1.03 121.10 X25.00 Over 1.51.11 Under 1.56.50 Over 3.52.00 Under 3.51.80 Over 2.51.36 Under 2.53.10 BTTS Yes1.95 BTTS No1.80

Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.

Data: API-Football · updated 3 Nov 2026, 12:31. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

Win probability

Flamengo 45% Draw 45% Gremio 10%

Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.7 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.0 goals and recent form points to 3.1 goals a game.

Form (last 5)

Flamengo DWWWW 2.6 scored · 1.0 conceded per game
Gremio DDLWW 1.4 scored · 1.2 conceded per game

Team comparison

FlamengoGremio
62% 38% Form
65% 35% Attack
55% 45% Defence
82% 18% Poisson
71% 29% Head-to-head
62% 38% Goals
66% 34% Overall

Head-to-head

3 Flamengo wins 1 draws 2 Gremio wins last 6 meetings

  • Gremio0 - 1Flamengo Serie A
  • Flamengo1 - 1Gremio Serie A
  • Gremio0 - 2Flamengo Serie A
  • Gremio3 - 2Flamengo Serie A
  • Flamengo2 - 1Gremio Serie A
  • Gremio3 - 2Flamengo Serie A

Statistics: API-Football · updated 3 Nov 2026, 06:10. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).