Inter vs Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
Inter
Fiorentina
October 25, 2026 at 12:30 · San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
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Inter vs Fiorentina prediction and betting tip for this Italy Serie A match, kicking off October 25, 2026 at 12:30 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza. Our tip: Home Win, 45% confidence.
Inter vs Fiorentina Preview
Inter host Fiorentina in the Italy Serie A (matchday 8) on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 12:30 WAT at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza in Milan. Maurizio Mariani is the referee.
Inter are 2nd in the table with 19 points from 7 games (6-1-0), while Fiorentina sit 18th on 4 points. Inter have a 15-point advantage. At home Inter have won 4 of 4; Fiorentina have won 1 of 3 on the road.
Inter have four wins and one draw in their last 5 league games (W-W-D-W-W), averaging 3.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Fiorentina have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-D-L-L), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Inter have won 4, Fiorentina 1, with 1 draw and an average of 2.7 goals per game. The most recent, in March 2026, finished Fiorentina 1-1 Inter.
Inter average 3.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets, usually in a 3-5-2. Fiorentina average 1.1 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
Inter will be without C. Jones (thigh injury), Luis Henrique (thigh injury), L. Martinez (thigh injury), B. Pavard (thigh injury), M. Spinacce (inactive) and J. Stones (injury). Fiorentina will be without A. Atta (abdominal strain), F. Parisi (knee injury), L. Ranieri (leg injury) and R. Sottil (back injury).
Players to watch: M. Thuram leads Inter's scoring with 4 goals and 2 assists; Franco Mastantuono leads Fiorentina's scoring with 3 goals.
Bookmakers make Inter the favourites: Inter 1.36, draw 5.25, Fiorentina 7.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.40 and under at 3.00. Both teams to score: yes 1.67, no 2.10.
Our prediction: Inter to win (1). The model makes Inter favourites at 45%, Inter have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 2nd, 16 places above Fiorentina.
Team news
- Out C. Jones Thigh Injury
- Out Luis Henrique Thigh Injury
- Out L. Martinez Thigh Injury
- Out B. Pavard Thigh Injury
- Out M. Spinacce Inactive
- Out J. Stones Injury
- Out A. Atta Abdominal strain
- Out F. Parisi Knee Injury
- Out L. Ranieri Leg Injury
- Out R. Sottil Back Injury
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
Season stats
| Inter | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 7 | 7 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 6 / 1 / 0 | 1 / 1 / 5 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 21 (3.0) | 8 (1.1) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 9 (1.3) | 17 (2.4) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 3.8 / 2.0 | 0.8 / 1.7 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 |
| Longest winning run | 4 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Usual formation | 3-5-2 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- M. Thuram 4 goals · 2 assists
- Lautaro Martínez 4 goals · 0 assists
- H. Çalhanoğlu 3 goals · 0 assists
- Franco Mastantuono 3 goals · 0 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 25 Oct 2026, 11:30. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
Win probability
Our tip: Inter to win (1) — The model makes Inter favourites at 45%, Inter have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 2nd, 16 places above Fiorentina.
Form (last 5)
Inter
WWDWW
3.2 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
Fiorentina
LWDLL
1.6 scored · 2.0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
4 Inter wins 1 draws 1 Fiorentina wins last 6 meetings
- Fiorentina1 - 1Inter Serie A
- Inter3 - 0Fiorentina Serie A
- Inter2 - 1Fiorentina Serie A
- Fiorentina3 - 0Inter Serie A
- Fiorentina0 - 1Inter Serie A
- Inter4 - 0Fiorentina Serie A
Statistics: API-Football · updated 25 Oct 2026, 09:11. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
