Lazio vs Parma
Italy Serie A
Lazio
Parma
October 24, 2026 at 19:45 · Stadio Olimpico
Won
Lazio vs Parma prediction and betting tip for this Italy Serie A match, kicking off October 24, 2026 at 19:45 at Stadio Olimpico. Our tip: Home Win, 45% confidence. Final score: 2-1 (0-0). The tip won.
- Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) Won
Lazio 2-1 Parma: Match Report
Lazio beat Parma 2-1 at Stadio Olimpico in the Italy Serie A on Saturday. It was goalless at half-time.
Kenneth Taylor opened the scoring for Lazio on 50 minutes. An own goal by Diego Carlos made it 2-0 on 58 minutes. Simone Lontani pulled one back for Parma in stoppage time (90+5'), set up by Giovanni Fabbian.
Lazio had 68% of the ball and 21 shots (5 on target) to Parma's 10 (4). Expected goals finished Lazio 1.82, Parma 0.87, so Lazio deserved the win.
Referee Alberto Ruben Arena showed 2 yellow cards.
Our tip, Lazio to win (1), won as Lazio won.
Goals & cards
- 30' Oliver Provstgaard Lazio · Yellow Card
- 38' Vincent Sierro Parma · Yellow Card
- 50' Kenneth Taylor Lazio
- 58' Diego Carlos Lazio · Own Goal
- 90+5' Simone Lontani Parma · assist Giovanni Fabbian
Match stats
Before the match
Lazio hosted Parma in the Italy Serie A (matchday 8) on Saturday 24 October 2026, kick-off 19:45 WAT at Stadio Olimpico in Rome. Alberto Ruben Arena was the referee.
Lazio are 2nd in the table with 19 points from 7 games (6-1-0), while Parma sit 19th on 4 points. Lazio have a 15-point advantage. At home Lazio have won 2 of 3; Parma have won 0 of 3 on the road.
Lazio have four wins and one draw in their last 5 league games (W-D-W-W-W), averaging 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Parma have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-W-L-L), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Lazio have won 3, Parma 1, with 2 draws and an average of 2.5 goals per game. The most recent, in April 2026, finished Lazio 1-1 Parma.
Lazio average 2.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets, usually in a 4-3-3. Parma average 0.6 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-2-1.
Lazio will be without A. Furlanetto (knee injury), A. Gudmundsson (shoulder injury), A. Marusic (muscle injury) and N. Rovella (calf injury). Parma will be without P. Almqvist (calf injury), N. Elphege (illness), H. Nicolussi Caviglia (thigh injury) and L. Valenti (coach's decision).
Players to watch: D. Frattesi leads Lazio's scoring with 3 goals.
Line-ups: Lazio lined up in a 4-3-3, Parma in a 5-3-2.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Lazio the favourites: Lazio 1.42, draw 4.50, Parma 7.50 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.91 and under at 1.91. Both teams to score: yes 2.00, no 1.75.
Our prediction was Lazio to win (1). The model makes Lazio favourites at 45%, Lazio have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 2nd, 17 places above Parma.
Team news
- Out A. Furlanetto Knee Injury
- Out A. Gudmundsson Shoulder Injury
- Out A. Marusic Muscle Injury
- Out N. Rovella Calf Injury
- Out P. Almqvist Calf Injury
- Out N. Elphege Illness
- Out H. Nicolussi Caviglia Thigh Injury
- Out L. Valenti Coach's decision
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lazio | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 19 |
| 19 | Parma | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
Season stats
| Lazio | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 7 | 7 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 6 / 1 / 0 | 1 / 1 / 5 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 14 (2.0) | 4 (0.6) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 4 (0.6) | 13 (1.9) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.0 / 2.0 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 4 |
| Longest winning run | 3 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-3-3 | 3-4-2-1 |
Top scorers
- D. Frattesi 3 goals · 0 assists
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
C. Mandas, R. Floriani Mussolini, J. Šutalo, O. Provstgaard, Nuno Tavares, D. Frattesi, R. Belahyane, K. Taylor, G. Isaksen, T. Noslin, M. Zaccagni
Coach: G. Gattuso
E. Corvi, E. Del Prato, Diego Carlos, M. Troilo, D. Drobnic, E. Valeri, M. Keita, V. Sierro, C. Ordoñez, E. Touré, D. Romero
Coach: A. Gilardino
Data: API-Football · updated 24 Oct 2026, 22:31. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
Win probability
Our tip: Lazio to win (1) — The model makes Lazio favourites at 45%, Lazio have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 2nd, 17 places above Parma.
Form (last 5)
Lazio
WDWWW
2.4 scored · 0.8 conceded per game
Parma
DLWLL
0.8 scored · 2.0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
3 Lazio wins 2 draws 1 Parma wins last 6 meetings
- Lazio1 - 1Parma Serie A
- Parma0 - 1Lazio Serie A
- Lazio2 - 2Parma Serie A
- Parma3 - 1Lazio Serie A
- Lazio1 - 0Parma Serie A
- Lazio2 - 1Parma Coppa Italia
Statistics: API-Football · updated 24 Oct 2026, 10:10. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
