Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas
Mexico Liga MX
Leon
Guadalajara Chivas
November 9, 2026 at 03:10 · Estadio León
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Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction and betting tip for this Mexico Liga MX match, kicking off November 9, 2026 at 03:10 at Estadio León. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals.
Why we pick: Over 1.5 Goals
- The model expects 2.8 goals.
- 2+ goals in 8 of Leon's and 6 of Guadalajara Chivas's last 8 games.
- Leon score 1.8 per home game and Guadalajara Chivas 1.5 per away game.
- Both teams rarely fail to score (at most 1 in 4 recent games).
- Bookmakers agree: 77% chance (margin removed).
Model probability: 78%
Facts from this season's and last season's results. A pick is only made when several of them agree and nothing points the other way. No bet is ever certain — please gamble responsibly (18+).
Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas Preview
Leon host Guadalajara Chivas in the Mexico Liga MX (Apertura - 16) on Monday 9 November 2026, kick-off 03:10 WAT at Estadio León in Leon.
Leon are 8th in the table with 22 points from 15 games (6-4-5), while Guadalajara Chivas sit 2nd on 29 points. Guadalajara Chivas have a 7-point advantage. At home Leon have won 4 of 7; Guadalajara Chivas have won 3 of 7 on the road.
Leon have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-W-D-L), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Guadalajara Chivas have three wins and two draws in their last 5 league games (D-D-W-W-W), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Leon have won 3, Guadalajara Chivas 3, with 0 draws and an average of 2.7 goals per game. The most recent, in March 2026, finished Guadalajara Chivas 5-0 Leon.
Leon average 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-1-4-1. Guadalajara Chivas average 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game this season, with 6 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-2-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: J. Alvarado leads Leon's scoring with 6 goals and 1 assist.
Bookmakers make Guadalajara Chivas the favourites: Leon 3.30, draw 3.50, Guadalajara Chivas 2.15 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.70 and under at 2.10. Both teams to score: yes 1.57, no 2.25.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.7 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.7 goals and recent form points to 2.9 goals a game.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | +15 | 29 | DDLWW |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | +11 | 29 | WWWDD |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +10 | 29 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Atlas | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 27 | WWLWD |
| 5 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | +3 | 25 | WWLWW |
| 6 | Toluca | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | +10 | 24 | DDDDL |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 22 | LDDWD |
| 8 | Leon | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 22 | LDWLD |
| 9 | Monterrey | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +5 | 21 | DLWWD |
| 10 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 20 | WDLWD |
| 11 | Club Queretaro | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 20 | LLLLW |
| 12 | CF Pachuca | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 19 | WWLLD |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -5 | 19 | LLWWD |
| 14 | Puebla | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 16 | LLLDD |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 15 | LDLDW |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -10 | 14 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -21 | 11 | WWDLL |
Season stats
| Leon | Guadalajara Chivas | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 15 | 15 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 6 / 4 / 5 | 8 / 5 / 2 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 22 (1.5) | 25 (1.7) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 20 (1.3) | 14 (0.9) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.9 / 1.1 | 1.9 / 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 |
| Longest winning run | 3 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 2-0 | 5-2 |
| Usual formation | 4-1-4-1 | 3-4-2-1 |
Top scorers
- J. Alvarado 6 goals · 1 assist
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 8 Nov 2026, 01:28. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
Win probability
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.7 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.7 goals and recent form points to 2.9 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Leon
DLWDL
1.6 scored · 1.8 conceded per game
Guadalajara Chivas
DDWWW
1.6 scored · 0.8 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
3 Leon wins 0 draws 3 Guadalajara Chivas wins last 6 meetings
- Guadalajara Chivas5 - 0Leon Liga MX
- Leon1 - 0Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
- Leon2 - 1Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
- Guadalajara Chivas2 - 0Leon Liga MX
- Guadalajara Chivas1 - 2Leon Liga MX
- Guadalajara Chivas2 - 0Leon Friendlies Clubs
Statistics: API-Football · updated 8 Nov 2026, 01:27. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
