Lillestrom vs Aalesund
Norway Eliteserien
Lillestrom
Aalesund
November 8, 2026 at 17:00 · Åråsen Stadion
Won
Lillestrom vs Aalesund prediction and betting tip for this Norway Eliteserien match, kicking off November 8, 2026 at 17:00 at Åråsen Stadion. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals. Final score: 3-2 (1-2). The tip won.
Why we pick: Over 1.5 Goals
- The model expects 3.5 goals.
- 2+ goals in 7 of Lillestrom's and 8 of Aalesund's last 8 games.
- Lillestrom score 1.5 per home game and Aalesund 1.7 per away game.
- Both teams rarely fail to score (at most 1 in 4 recent games).
- Bookmakers agree: 88% chance (margin removed).
Model probability: 83%
Facts from this season's and last season's results. A pick is only made when several of them agree and nothing points the other way. No bet is ever certain — please gamble responsibly (18+).
- Both Teams to Score - Yes Won
- Over 2.5 Goals Won
Lillestrom 3-2 Aalesund: Match Report
Lillestrom beat Aalesund 3-2 at Åråsen Stadion in the Norway Eliteserien on Sunday, with a late winner. Aalesund led 2-1 at half-time.
Ruben Gabrielsen opened the scoring for Lillestrom on 11 minutes, set up by Frederik Elkaer. Marcus Reed levelled for Aalesund on 18 minutes. Marcus Reed put Aalesund in front on 37 minutes, set up by Mathias Christensen. Henrik Molvaer Melland levelled for Lillestrom on 51 minutes. Ruben Gabrielsen won it for Lillestrom on 89 minutes, set up by Fredrik Gulbrandsen.
Lillestrom had 58% of the ball and 17 shots (5 on target) to Aalesund's 16 (5). Expected goals finished Lillestrom 2.37, Aalesund 1.81, so Lillestrom deserved the win.
Referee Stian Rovig Sletner showed 2 yellow cards.
Our tip, Over 1.5 Goals, won with 5 goals in the game.
Goals & cards
- 11' Ruben Gabrielsen Lillestrom · assist Frederik Elkaer
- 18' Marcus Reed Aalesund
- 37' Marcus Reed Aalesund · assist Mathias Christensen
- 51' Henrik Molvaer Melland Lillestrom
- 56' Hans Erik Ødegaard Lillestrom · Yellow Card
- 59' Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim Lillestrom · Yellow Card
- 78' Kristoffer Nesso Aalesund · Yellow Card
- 89' Ruben Gabrielsen Lillestrom · assist Fredrik Gulbrandsen
Match stats
Before the match
Lillestrom hosted Aalesund in the Norway Eliteserien (matchday 26) on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 WAT at Åråsen Stadion in Lillestrom. Stian Rovig Sletner was the referee.
Lillestrom are 5th in the table with 42 points from 25 games (13-3-9), while Aalesund sit 14th on 24 points. Lillestrom have a 18-point advantage. At home Lillestrom have won 6 of 12; Aalesund have won 3 of 12 on the road.
Lillestrom have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 5 league games (L-D-W-W-W), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Aalesund have two wins and three defeats in their last 5 league games (W-L-W-L-L), averaging 2.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Lillestrom have won 3, Aalesund 1, with 2 draws and an average of 4.2 goals per game. The most recent, in March 2026, finished Aalesund 1-3 Lillestrom.
Lillestrom average 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 8 clean sheets and 7 games without scoring, usually in a 4-1-4-1. Aalesund average 1.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 5-3-2.
Players to watch: Vá leads Lillestrom's scoring with 8 goals and 5 assists; M. Christensen leads Aalesund's scoring with 11 goals and 5 assists.
Line-ups: Lillestrom lined up in a 4-1-4-1, Aalesund in a 5-3-2.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Lillestrom the favourites: Lillestrom 1.70, draw 4.50, Aalesund 4.10 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.33 and under at 3.40. Both teams to score: yes 1.36, no 3.00.
Our prediction was Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.3 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 4.2 goals and recent form points to 3.9 goals a game.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | +40 | 62 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Viking | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | +38 | 59 | LWWWW |
| 3 | Rosenborg | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | +21 | 46 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Molde | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +20 | 43 | LWWDL |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | +3 | 42 | WWWDL |
| 6 | Tromso | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +3 | 40 | LLLDD |
| 7 | Brann | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | +3 | 32 | WLLLW |
| 8 | Valerenga | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -3 | 32 | WWWLD |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | -7 | 31 | LWLWL |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | -9 | 31 | DDDWW |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -15 | 29 | LLLDD |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -8 | 27 | WLLDW |
| 13 | Ham-Kam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -18 | 27 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Aalesund | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | -14 | 24 | LLWLW |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -22 | 23 | WDLLL |
| 16 | Start | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -32 | 19 | LLWLL |
Season stats
| Lillestrom | Aalesund | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 25 | 25 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 13 / 3 / 9 | 5 / 9 / 11 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 36 (1.4) | 43 (1.7) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 33 (1.3) | 57 (2.3) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.8 / 1.1 | 2.1 / 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 2 |
| Longest winning run | 3 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 4-0 | 2-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-1-4-1 | 5-3-2 |
Top scorers
- Vá 8 goals · 5 assists
- F. Gulbrandsen 7 goals · 1 assist
- M. Christensen 11 goals · 5 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
P. Dahlberg, S. Ottesen, S. Foss, R. Gabrielsen, F. Elkær, F. Ottosson, C. Jebara, H. Melland, G. Nyheim, G. Nordh, T. Lehne Olsen
Coach: H. Ødegaard
T. Larsen, K. Nessø, M. Andresen, P. Aukland, A. Hammer Kjelsen, U. Charles, M. Christensen, E. Hagen, E. Osenbroch, E. Myrlid, H. M. Reed
Coach: K. Rekdal
Data: API-Football · updated 8 Nov 2026, 19:30. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
Win probability
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.3 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 4.2 goals and recent form points to 3.9 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Lillestrom
LDWWW
1.6 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Aalesund
WLWLL
2.4 scored · 2.4 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
3 Lillestrom wins 2 draws 1 Aalesund wins last 6 meetings
- Aalesund1 - 3Lillestrom Eliteserien
- Lillestrom5 - 1Aalesund 1. Division
- Aalesund2 - 2Lillestrom 1. Division
- Aalesund1 - 1Lillestrom Eliteserien
- Lillestrom5 - 1Aalesund Eliteserien
- Aalesund2 - 1Lillestrom Eliteserien
Statistics: API-Football · updated 8 Nov 2026, 10:10. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).