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Modena vs Cesena

Italy Serie B

Modena Modena
VS
Cesena Cesena

October 24, 2026 at 14:00 · Alberto Braglia

Won

Predicted Outcome Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X)
Confidence 90%
Final Score 3-0 (3-0)

Modena vs Cesena prediction and betting tip for this Italy Serie B match, kicking off October 24, 2026 at 14:00 at Alberto Braglia. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X), 90% confidence. Final score: 3-0 (3-0). The tip won.

Modena 3-0 Cesena: Match Report

Modena thrashed Cesena 3-0 at Alberto Braglia in the Italy Serie B on Saturday. Modena led 3-0 at half-time.

Andrea Belotti opened the scoring for Modena on 19 minutes, set up by Gastón Brugman. Andrea Belotti made it 2-0 on 32 minutes, set up by Daniel Tonoli. An own goal by Gianluca Frabotta made it 3-0 on 35 minutes.

Modena had 70% of the ball and 19 shots (5 on target) to Cesena's 4 (1). Expected goals finished Modena 2.19, Cesena 0.18, so Modena deserved the win.

Antonio Fiori (Cesena, 5') was sent off. Referee Dario Madonia showed 1 yellow card.

Our tip, Modena or draw (1X), won as Modena won.

Goals & cards

  • 5' Antonio Fiori Cesena · Red Card
  • 19' Andrea Belotti Modena · assist Gastón Brugman
  • 20' Mihajlo Ilic Cesena · Yellow Card
  • 32' Andrea Belotti Modena · assist Daniel Tonoli
  • 35' Gianluca Frabotta Modena · Own Goal

Match stats

ModenaCesena
70% 30% Possession
2.19 0.18 Expected goals (xG)
19 4 Shots
5 1 Shots on target
7 1 Corners
1 3 Saves
5 12 Fouls
1 1 Offsides
0 1 Yellow cards
0 1 Red cards

Before the match

Modena hosted Cesena in the Italy Serie B (matchday 8) on Saturday 24 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 WAT at Alberto Braglia in Modena. Dario Madonia was the referee.

Modena are 4th in the table with 13 points from 7 games (4-1-2), while Cesena sit 13th on 8 points. Modena have a 5-point advantage. At home Modena have won 2 of 3; Cesena have won 1 of 3 on the road.

Modena have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (L-D-W-W-L), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Cesena have four draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (D-D-D-L-D), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.

In their last 6 meetings Modena have won 2, Cesena 2, with 2 draws and an average of 1.7 goals per game. The most recent, in March 2026, finished Modena 0-0 Cesena.

Modena average 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3. Cesena average 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3.

Players to watch: G. Caso leads Modena's scoring with 3 goals and 1 assist; C. Shpendi leads Cesena's scoring with 6 goals and 1 assist.

Line-ups: Modena lined up in a 3-4-2-1, Cesena in a 4-3-3.

Before kick-off, bookmakers made Modena the favourites: Modena 1.53, draw 3.90, Cesena 6.25 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.70 and under at 2.10. Both teams to score: yes 1.80, no 1.95.

Our prediction was Modena or draw (1X). The model gives Modena or a draw a 90% chance, Modena sit 4th, 9 places above Cesena and bookmakers make Modena favourites at 1.53.

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
4Modena7412+413
13Cesena7151-18

Season stats

ModenaCesena
Played77
Won / Drawn / Lost4 / 1 / 21 / 5 / 1
Goals scored (per game)12 (1.7)8 (1.1)
Goals conceded (per game)8 (1.1)9 (1.3)
Scored at home / away (per game)1.7 / 1.81.3 / 1.0
Clean sheets10
Failed to score11
Longest winning run21
Biggest win3-21-2
Usual formation4-3-34-3-3

Top scorers

Modena
  • G. Caso 3 goals · 1 assist
  • A. Belotti 3 goals · 0 assists
  • G. Ambrosino 2 goals · 2 assists
Cesena
  • C. Shpendi 6 goals · 1 assist

Odds (Bet365)

Modena1.53 Draw3.90 Cesena6.25 1X1.12 121.25 X22.30 Over 1.51.20 Under 1.54.33 Over 3.52.62 Under 3.51.44 Over 2.51.70 Under 2.52.10 BTTS Yes1.80 BTTS No1.95

Odds before kick-off.

Starting line-ups

Modena (3-4-2-1)

L. Chichizola, F. Folino, S. Nador, B. Nieling, D. Tonoli, G. Brugman, A. Bianco, Paulo Azzi, G. Olzer, G. Ambrosino, A. Belotti

Coach: D. Galloppa

Cesena (4-3-3)

A. Siano, A. Ciofi, M. Ilić, J. Gelli, G. Frabotta, D. Bisoli, M. Guidi, M. Francesconi, L. D'Andrea, C. Shpendi, A. Fiori

Coach: Alessandro Diamanti

Data: API-Football · updated 24 Oct 2026, 16:31. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

Win probability

Modena 45% Draw 45% Cesena 10%

Our tip: Modena or draw (1X) — The model gives Modena or a draw a 90% chance, Modena sit 4th, 9 places above Cesena and bookmakers make Modena favourites at 1.53.

Form (last 5)

Modena LDWWL 1.4 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Cesena DDDLD 1.0 scored · 1.4 conceded per game

Team comparison

ModenaCesena
64% 36% Form
58% 42% Attack
50% 50% Defence
61% 39% Poisson
38% 62% Head-to-head
43% 57% Goals
52% 48% Overall

Head-to-head

2 Modena wins 2 draws 2 Cesena wins last 6 meetings

  • Modena0 - 0Cesena Serie B
  • Cesena1 - 0Modena Serie B
  • Modena0 - 1Cesena Serie B
  • Cesena2 - 2Modena Serie B
  • Modena1 - 0Cesena Serie C - Girone B
  • Cesena1 - 2Modena Serie C - Girone B

Statistics: API-Football · updated 24 Oct 2026, 06:11. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).

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