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Napoli vs AS Roma

Italy Serie A

Napoli Napoli
VS
AS Roma AS Roma

October 24, 2026 at 17:00 · Maradona Stadium

Won

Predicted Outcome Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2)
Confidence 90%
Final Score 3-3 (1-0)

Napoli vs AS Roma prediction and betting tip for this Italy Serie A match, kicking off October 24, 2026 at 17:00 at Maradona Stadium. Our tip: Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2), 90% confidence. Final score: 3-3 (1-0). The tip won.

Napoli 3-3 AS Roma: Match Report

Napoli and AS Roma shared the points in a 3-3 draw at Maradona Stadium in the Italy Serie A on Saturday. Napoli led 1-0 at half-time.

Frank Anguissa opened the scoring for Napoli on 28 minutes. Scott McTominay made it 2-0 on 48 minutes, set up by Matteo Politano. Matias Soule pulled one back for AS Roma on 69 minutes, set up by Donyell Malen. Leonardo Balerdi levelled for AS Roma on 74 minutes, set up by Santiago Thomas Castro. Scott McTominay put Napoli in front on 83 minutes, set up by Mathias Olivera. Leonardo Balerdi levelled for AS Roma on 89 minutes, set up by Wesley Vinícius França Lima.

AS Roma had 60% of the ball, while Napoli had 15 shots (9 on target) to AS Roma's 24 (4). Expected goals finished Napoli 2.42, AS Roma 1.92, so Napoli will feel they should have won.

Massimiliano Allegri (Napoli, 90') was sent off. Referee Andrea Colombo showed 5 yellow cards.

Our tip, AS Roma or draw (X2), won as the game ended level.

Goals & cards

  • 4' Rafael Marin Zamora Napoli · Yellow Card
  • 28' Frank Anguissa Napoli
  • 30' Bryan Cristante AS Roma · Yellow Card
  • 45' Devyne Rensch AS Roma · Yellow Card
  • 48' Scott McTominay Napoli · assist Matteo Politano
  • 61' Leonardo Balerdi AS Roma · Yellow Card
  • 69' Matias Soule AS Roma · assist Donyell Malen
  • 74' Leonardo Balerdi AS Roma · assist Santiago Thomas Castro
  • 83' Scott McTominay Napoli · assist Mathias Olivera
  • 86' Marten de Roon AS Roma · Yellow Card
  • 89' Leonardo Balerdi AS Roma · assist Wesley Vinícius França Lima
  • 90' Massimiliano Allegri Napoli · Red Card

Match stats

NapoliAS Roma
40% 60% Possession
2.42 1.92 Expected goals (xG)
15 24 Shots
9 4 Shots on target
2 11 Corners
1 5 Saves
6 11 Fouls
0 1 Offsides
1 4 Yellow cards
0 0 Red cards

Before the match

Napoli hosted AS Roma in the Italy Serie A (matchday 8) on Saturday 24 October 2026, kick-off 17:00 WAT at Maradona Stadium in Naples. Andrea Colombo was the referee.

Napoli are 10th in the table with 10 points from 7 games (3-1-3), while AS Roma sit 3rd on 17 points. AS Roma have a 7-point advantage. At home Napoli have won 2 of 3; AS Roma have won 2 of 3 on the road.

Napoli have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-D-W-L), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. AS Roma have three wins and two draws in their last 5 league games (W-W-D-D-W), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded.

In their last 6 meetings Napoli have won 2, AS Roma 1, with 3 draws and an average of 2.3 goals per game. The most recent, in February 2026, finished Napoli 2-2 AS Roma.

Napoli average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3. AS Roma average 2.3 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game this season, with 5 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 3-4-2-1.

Napoli will be without Alisson Santos (muscle injury), A. Buongiorno (knee injury), David Neres (thigh injury) and C. Favasuli (thigh injury). AS Roma will be without M. Bah (knee injury), P. Dybala (calf injury), M. Kone (muscle injury), L. Pellegrini (thigh injury) and M. Svilar (toe injury).

Players to watch: K. De Bruyne leads Napoli's scoring with 3 goals and 1 assist; D. Malen leads AS Roma's scoring with 6 goals.

Line-ups: Napoli lined up in a 4-3-3, AS Roma in a 3-5-2.

Before kick-off, bookmakers made Napoli the favourites: Napoli 2.70, draw 3.25, AS Roma 2.70 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.80 and under at 2.00. Both teams to score: yes 1.62, no 2.20.

Our prediction was AS Roma or draw (X2). The model gives AS Roma or a draw a 90% chance, AS Roma have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 3rd, 7 places above Napoli.

Team news

Napoli
  • Out Alisson Santos Muscle Injury
  • Out A. Buongiorno Knee Injury
  • Out David Neres Thigh Injury
  • Out C. Favasuli Thigh Injury
AS Roma
  • Out M. Bah Knee Injury
  • Out P. Dybala Calf Injury
  • Out M. Kone Muscle Injury
  • Out L. Pellegrini Thigh Injury
  • Out M. Svilar Toe Injury

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
3AS Roma7520+1317
10Napoli7313+310

Season stats

NapoliAS Roma
Played77
Won / Drawn / Lost3 / 1 / 35 / 2 / 0
Goals scored (per game)10 (1.4)16 (2.3)
Goals conceded (per game)7 (1.0)3 (0.4)
Scored at home / away (per game)1.7 / 1.32.5 / 2.0
Clean sheets35
Failed to score11
Longest winning run14
Biggest win3-04-0
Usual formation4-3-33-4-2-1

Top scorers

Napoli
  • K. De Bruyne 3 goals · 1 assist
AS Roma
  • D. Malen 6 goals · 0 assists

Odds (Bet365)

Napoli2.70 Draw3.25 AS Roma2.70 1X1.44 121.33 X21.44 Over 1.51.25 Under 1.54.00 Over 3.53.00 Under 3.51.40 Over 2.51.80 Under 2.52.00 BTTS Yes1.62 BTTS No2.20

Odds before kick-off.

Starting line-ups

Napoli (4-3-3)

A. Meret, G. Di Lorenzo, Rafa Marín, B. Badiashile, M. Olivera, K. De Bruyne, A. Zambo Anguissa, S. McTominay, M. Politano, R. Højlund, N. Lang

Coach: M. Allegri

AS Roma (3-5-2)

P. Gollini, G. Mancini, E. Ndicka, Hermoso, D. Rensch, M. de Roon, B. Cristante, N. Pisilli, Wesley, M. Soulé, D. Malen

Coach: G. Gasperini

Data: API-Football · updated 24 Oct 2026, 19:31. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

Win probability

Napoli 10% Draw 45% AS Roma 45%

Our tip: AS Roma or draw (X2) — The model gives AS Roma or a draw a 90% chance, AS Roma have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 3rd, 7 places above Napoli.

Form (last 5)

Napoli LWDWL 1.4 scored · 1.0 conceded per game
AS Roma WWDDW 1.6 scored · 0.6 conceded per game

Team comparison

NapoliAS Roma
39% 61% Form
47% 53% Attack
38% 63% Defence
0% 100% Poisson
75% 25% Head-to-head
58% 42% Goals
51% 49% Overall

Head-to-head

2 Napoli wins 3 draws 1 AS Roma wins last 6 meetings

  • Napoli2 - 2AS Roma Serie A
  • AS Roma0 - 1Napoli Serie A
  • AS Roma1 - 1Napoli Serie A
  • Napoli1 - 0AS Roma Serie A
  • Napoli2 - 2AS Roma Serie A
  • AS Roma2 - 0Napoli Serie A

Statistics: API-Football · updated 24 Oct 2026, 10:10. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).

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