Palermo vs Carrarese
Italy Serie B
Palermo
Carrarese
October 25, 2026 at 15:00 · Renzo Barbera
Won
Palermo vs Carrarese prediction and betting tip for this Italy Serie B match, kicking off October 25, 2026 at 15:00 at Renzo Barbera. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X), 90% confidence. Final score: 2-1 (1-0). The tip won.
Palermo 2-1 Carrarese: Match Report
Palermo beat Carrarese 2-1 at Renzo Barbera in the Italy Serie B on Sunday. Palermo led 1-0 at half-time.
Dennis Johnsen opened the scoring for Palermo on 26 minutes, set up by Hernani. Tommaso Rubino levelled for Carrarese on 74 minutes, set up by G. Marconi. Dominic Vavassori won it for Palermo on 80 minutes.
Carrarese had 59% of the ball, while Palermo had 19 shots (7 on target) to Carrarese's 15 (4). Expected goals finished Palermo 1.93, Carrarese 1.32, so Palermo deserved the win.
Referee Mattia Drigo showed 2 yellow cards.
Our tip, Palermo or draw (1X), won as Palermo won.
Goals & cards
- 22' Luka Topalovic Carrarese · Yellow Card
- 26' Dennis Johnsen Palermo · assist Hernani
- 74' Tommaso Rubino Carrarese · assist G. Marconi
- 80' Dominic Vavassori Palermo
- 90+3' Filippo Oliana Carrarese · Yellow Card
Match stats
Before the match
Palermo hosted Carrarese in the Italy Serie B (matchday 8) on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 15:00 WAT at Renzo Barbera in Palermo. Mattia Drigo was the referee.
Palermo are 1st in the table with 19 points from 7 games (6-1-0), while Carrarese sit 17th on 7 points. Palermo have a 12-point advantage. At home Palermo have won 3 of 3; Carrarese have won 1 of 3 on the road.
Palermo have four wins and one draw in their last 5 league games (W-D-W-W-W), averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Carrarese have two wins and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-W-W), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
In their last 4 meetings Palermo have won 2, Carrarese 1, with 1 draw and an average of 2.3 goals per game. The most recent, in March 2026, finished Carrarese 0-1 Palermo.
Palermo average 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Carrarese average 0.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 3-5-2.
Players to watch: D. Johnsen leads Palermo's scoring with 4 goals and 5 assists.
Line-ups: Palermo lined up in a 4-2-3-1, Carrarese in a 3-5-2.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Palermo the favourites: Palermo 1.42, draw 4.50, Carrarese 7.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.57 and under at 2.35. Both teams to score: yes 1.70, no 2.05.
Our prediction was Palermo or draw (1X). The model gives Palermo or a draw a 90% chance, Palermo have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 16 places above Carrarese.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 19 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
Season stats
| Palermo | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 7 | 7 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 6 / 1 / 0 | 2 / 1 / 4 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 16 (2.3) | 6 (0.9) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 7 (1.0) | 7 (1.0) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.0 / 2.5 | 0.8 / 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 |
| Longest winning run | 3 | 0 |
| Biggest win | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 3-5-2 |
Top scorers
- D. Johnsen 4 goals · 5 assists
- J. Pohjanpalo 2 goals · 2 assists
- D. Vavassori 2 goals · 1 assist
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
M. Perin, T. Cassandro, G. Magnani, P. Ceccaroni, T. Augello, J. Segre, F. Ranocchia, D. Vavassori, Hernani, D. Johnsen, J. Pohjanpalo
Coach: F. Inzaghi
S. Pizzignacco, F. Ruggeri, F. Oliana, F. Reale, G. Parlanti, Nicolás Schiavi, M. Braunöder, J. Martini, J. Rouhi, F. Abiuso, L. Topalović
Coach: G. Pagliuca
Data: API-Football · updated 25 Oct 2026, 17:31. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
Win probability
Our tip: Palermo or draw (1X) — The model gives Palermo or a draw a 90% chance, Palermo have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 16 places above Carrarese.
Form (last 5)
Palermo
WDWWW
2.4 scored · 1.0 conceded per game
Carrarese
LLLWW
0.8 scored · 0.8 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Palermo wins 1 draws 1 Carrarese wins last 4 meetings
- Carrarese0 - 1Palermo Serie B
- Palermo5 - 0Carrarese Serie B
- Palermo1 - 1Carrarese Serie B
- Carrarese1 - 0Palermo Serie B
Statistics: API-Football · updated 25 Oct 2026, 06:10. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
