Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes
France Ligue 1
November 7, 2026 at 21:05 · Parc des Princes
Won
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes prediction and betting tip for this France Ligue 1 match, kicking off November 7, 2026 at 21:05 at Parc des Princes. Our tip: Home Win, 50% confidence. Final score: 1-0 (1-0). The tip won.
Paris Saint Germain 1-0 Estac Troyes: Match Report
Paris Saint Germain beat Estac Troyes 1-0 at Parc des Princes in the France Ligue 1 on Saturday. Paris Saint Germain led 1-0 at half-time.
Ilya Zabarnyi opened the scoring for Paris Saint Germain on 39 minutes, set up by Senny Mayulu.
Paris Saint Germain had 73% of the ball and 15 shots (7 on target) to Estac Troyes's 8 (3). Expected goals finished Paris Saint Germain 1.64, Estac Troyes 0.71, so Paris Saint Germain deserved the win.
Referee Ruddy Buquet showed 3 yellow cards.
Our tip, Paris Saint Germain to win (1), won as Paris Saint Germain won.
Goals & cards
- 34' Ilya Zabarnyi Paris Saint Germain · Yellow Card
- 39' Ilya Zabarnyi Paris Saint Germain · assist Senny Mayulu
- 79' Jérémy Le Douaron Estac Troyes · Yellow Card
- 86' Antoine Mille Estac Troyes · Yellow Card
Match stats
Before the match
Paris Saint Germain hosted Estac Troyes in the France Ligue 1 (matchday 10) on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 21:05 WAT at Parc des Princes in Paris. Ruddy Buquet was the referee.
Paris Saint Germain are 1st in the table with 20 points from 9 games (6-2-1), while Estac Troyes sit 16th on 8 points. Paris Saint Germain have a 12-point advantage. At home Paris Saint Germain have won 2 of 3; Estac Troyes have won 1 of 4 on the road.
Paris Saint Germain have five wins in their last 5 league games (W-W-W-W-W), averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Estac Troyes have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-D-W), averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Paris Saint Germain have won 5, Estac Troyes 0, with 1 draw and an average of 3.7 goals per game. The most recent, in May 2023, finished Estac Troyes 1-3 Paris Saint Germain.
Paris Saint Germain average 2.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets, usually in a 4-3-3. Estac Troyes average 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets and 5 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
Players to watch: Ferran Torres leads Paris Saint Germain's scoring with 4 goals and 1 assist.
Line-ups: Paris Saint Germain lined up in a 4-3-3, Estac Troyes in a 4-5-1.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Paris Saint Germain the favourites: Paris Saint Germain 1.18, draw 7.00, Estac Troyes 15.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.40 and under at 3.00. Both teams to score: yes 1.95, no 1.80.
Our prediction was Paris Saint Germain to win (1). The model makes Paris Saint Germain favourites at 50%, Paris Saint Germain have won 5 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 15 places above Estac Troyes.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
Season stats
| Paris Saint Germain | Estac Troyes | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 9 | 9 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 6 / 2 / 1 | 2 / 2 / 5 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 21 (2.3) | 7 (0.8) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 10 (1.1) | 16 (1.8) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.0 / 2.5 | 1.0 / 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 5 |
| Longest winning run | 0 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 3-1 | 2-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-3-3 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- Ferran Torres 4 goals · 1 assist
- A. Hakimi 3 goals · 2 assists
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
M. Safonov, W. Zaïre-Emery, I. Zabarnyi, W. Pacho, L. Hernández, Senny Mayulu, Vitinha, Fabián Ruiz, D. Doué, Ferran Torres, M. Godts
Coach: Luis Enrique
H. Konaté, L. Maronnier, A. Monfray, M. Diaz, I. Boura, M. Ifnaoui, A. Mille, D. Karim, M. Diop, K. Diawara, R. Ripart
Coach: S. Dumont
Data: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 23:30. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
Win probability
Our tip: Paris Saint Germain to win (1) — The model makes Paris Saint Germain favourites at 50%, Paris Saint Germain have won 5 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 15 places above Estac Troyes.
Form (last 5)
Team comparison
Head-to-head
5 Paris Saint Germain wins 1 draws 0 Estac Troyes wins last 6 meetings
- Estac Troyes1 - 3Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
- Paris Saint Germain4 - 3Estac Troyes Ligue 1
- Paris Saint Germain2 - 2Estac Troyes Ligue 1
- Estac Troyes1 - 2Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
- Estac Troyes0 - 2Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
- Paris Saint Germain2 - 0Estac Troyes Ligue 1
Statistics: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 19:30. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).