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Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes

France Ligue 1

Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
VS
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes

November 7, 2026 at 21:05 · Parc des Princes

Won

Predicted Outcome Home Win
Confidence 50%
Final Score 1-0 (1-0)

Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes prediction and betting tip for this France Ligue 1 match, kicking off November 7, 2026 at 21:05 at Parc des Princes. Our tip: Home Win, 50% confidence. Final score: 1-0 (1-0). The tip won.

Paris Saint Germain 1-0 Estac Troyes: Match Report

Paris Saint Germain beat Estac Troyes 1-0 at Parc des Princes in the France Ligue 1 on Saturday. Paris Saint Germain led 1-0 at half-time.

Ilya Zabarnyi opened the scoring for Paris Saint Germain on 39 minutes, set up by Senny Mayulu.

Paris Saint Germain had 73% of the ball and 15 shots (7 on target) to Estac Troyes's 8 (3). Expected goals finished Paris Saint Germain 1.64, Estac Troyes 0.71, so Paris Saint Germain deserved the win.

Referee Ruddy Buquet showed 3 yellow cards.

Our tip, Paris Saint Germain to win (1), won as Paris Saint Germain won.

Goals & cards

  • 34' Ilya Zabarnyi Paris Saint Germain · Yellow Card
  • 39' Ilya Zabarnyi Paris Saint Germain · assist Senny Mayulu
  • 79' Jérémy Le Douaron Estac Troyes · Yellow Card
  • 86' Antoine Mille Estac Troyes · Yellow Card

Match stats

Paris Saint GermainEstac Troyes
73% 27% Possession
1.64 0.71 Expected goals (xG)
15 8 Shots
7 3 Shots on target
6 1 Corners
3 6 Saves
6 7 Fouls
1 6 Offsides
1 2 Yellow cards
0 0 Red cards

Before the match

Paris Saint Germain hosted Estac Troyes in the France Ligue 1 (matchday 10) on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 21:05 WAT at Parc des Princes in Paris. Ruddy Buquet was the referee.

Paris Saint Germain are 1st in the table with 20 points from 9 games (6-2-1), while Estac Troyes sit 16th on 8 points. Paris Saint Germain have a 12-point advantage. At home Paris Saint Germain have won 2 of 3; Estac Troyes have won 1 of 4 on the road.

Paris Saint Germain have five wins in their last 5 league games (W-W-W-W-W), averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Estac Troyes have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-D-W), averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.

In their last 6 meetings Paris Saint Germain have won 5, Estac Troyes 0, with 1 draw and an average of 3.7 goals per game. The most recent, in May 2023, finished Estac Troyes 1-3 Paris Saint Germain.

Paris Saint Germain average 2.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets, usually in a 4-3-3. Estac Troyes average 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets and 5 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.

Players to watch: Ferran Torres leads Paris Saint Germain's scoring with 4 goals and 1 assist.

Line-ups: Paris Saint Germain lined up in a 4-3-3, Estac Troyes in a 4-5-1.

Before kick-off, bookmakers made Paris Saint Germain the favourites: Paris Saint Germain 1.18, draw 7.00, Estac Troyes 15.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.40 and under at 3.00. Both teams to score: yes 1.95, no 1.80.

Our prediction was Paris Saint Germain to win (1). The model makes Paris Saint Germain favourites at 50%, Paris Saint Germain have won 5 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 15 places above Estac Troyes.

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain9621+1120
16Estac Troyes9225-98

Season stats

Paris Saint GermainEstac Troyes
Played99
Won / Drawn / Lost6 / 2 / 12 / 2 / 5
Goals scored (per game)21 (2.3)7 (0.8)
Goals conceded (per game)10 (1.1)16 (1.8)
Scored at home / away (per game)2.0 / 2.51.0 / 0.5
Clean sheets23
Failed to score05
Longest winning run01
Biggest win3-12-0
Usual formation4-3-34-2-3-1

Top scorers

Paris Saint Germain
  • Ferran Torres 4 goals · 1 assist
  • A. Hakimi 3 goals · 2 assists
Estac Troyes

No player in the league's top scorers list.

Odds (Bet365)

Paris Saint Germain1.18 Draw7.00 Estac Troyes15.00 1X1.02 121.08 X25.50 Over 1.51.11 Under 1.56.50 Over 3.52.00 Under 3.51.80 Over 2.51.40 Under 2.53.00 BTTS Yes1.95 BTTS No1.80

Odds before kick-off.

Starting line-ups

Paris Saint Germain (4-3-3)

M. Safonov, W. Zaïre-Emery, I. Zabarnyi, W. Pacho, L. Hernández, Senny Mayulu, Vitinha, Fabián Ruiz, D. Doué, Ferran Torres, M. Godts

Coach: Luis Enrique

Estac Troyes (4-5-1)

H. Konaté, L. Maronnier, A. Monfray, M. Diaz, I. Boura, M. Ifnaoui, A. Mille, D. Karim, M. Diop, K. Diawara, R. Ripart

Coach: S. Dumont

Data: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 23:30. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

Win probability

Paris Saint Germain 50% Draw 50% Estac Troyes 0%

Our tip: Paris Saint Germain to win (1) — The model makes Paris Saint Germain favourites at 50%, Paris Saint Germain have won 5 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 15 places above Estac Troyes.

Form (last 5)

Paris Saint Germain WWWWW 3.0 scored · 0.8 conceded per game
Estac Troyes LLLDW 0.6 scored · 1.4 conceded per game

Team comparison

Paris Saint GermainEstac Troyes
79% 21% Form
83% 17% Attack
64% 36% Defence
79% 21% Poisson
93% 7% Head-to-head
65% 35% Goals
77% 23% Overall

Head-to-head

5 Paris Saint Germain wins 1 draws 0 Estac Troyes wins last 6 meetings

  • Estac Troyes1 - 3Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
  • Paris Saint Germain4 - 3Estac Troyes Ligue 1
  • Paris Saint Germain2 - 2Estac Troyes Ligue 1
  • Estac Troyes1 - 2Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
  • Estac Troyes0 - 2Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
  • Paris Saint Germain2 - 0Estac Troyes Ligue 1

Statistics: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 19:30. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).

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