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Torreense vs União de Leiria

Portugal Segunda Liga

Torreense Torreense
VS
União de Leiria União de Leiria

November 9, 2026 at 21:15 · Estadio Manuel Marques

Lost

Predicted Outcome Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X)
Confidence 90%
Final Score 2-3 (1-0)

Torreense vs União de Leiria prediction and betting tip for this Portugal Segunda Liga match, kicking off November 9, 2026 at 21:15 at Estadio Manuel Marques. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X), 90% confidence. Final score: 2-3 (1-0). The tip lost.

Why we pick: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X)

  • Torreense are the stronger side on Elo rating (+83).
  • Torreense lost only 1 of their last 6 home games.
  • União de Leiria won just 1 of their last 6 away games.
  • Bookmakers agree: 74% chance (margin removed).

Model probability: 63%

Facts from this season's and last season's results. A pick is only made when several of them agree and nothing points the other way. No bet is ever certain — please gamble responsibly (18+).

More tips for this match
  • Under 2.5 Goals Lost

Torreense 2-3 União de Leiria: Match Report

União de Leiria won 3-2 away at Torreense in the Portugal Segunda Liga on Monday, coming from behind. Torreense led 1-0 at half-time.

Dany Jean opened the scoring for Torreense on 26 minutes, set up by Jorge Aguirre de Céspedes. Pablo Fernandez levelled for União de Leiria on 53 minutes. Jose Pedro Barros Goncalves put União de Leiria in front on 59 minutes. Juan Muñoz made it 1-3 on 77 minutes. Javi Vazquez pulled one back for Torreense in stoppage time (90+3').

União de Leiria had 53% of the ball, while Torreense had 8 shots (3 on target) to União de Leiria's 19 (10).

Referee Helder Carvalho showed 2 yellow cards.

Our tip, Torreense or draw (1X), lost as União de Leiria won.

Goals & cards

  • 26' Dany Jean Torreense · assist Jorge Aguirre de Céspedes
  • 53' Pablo Fernandez União de Leiria
  • 59' Jose Pedro Barros Goncalves União de Leiria
  • 77' Juan Muñoz União de Leiria
  • 86' Diogo Martins União de Leiria · Yellow Card
  • 90' Jakob·Odehnal União de Leiria · Yellow Card
  • 90+3' Javi Vazquez Torreense

Match stats

TorreenseUnião de Leiria
47% 53% Possession
8 19 Shots
3 10 Shots on target
2 4 Corners
0 2 Yellow cards
0 0 Red cards

Before the match

Torreense hosted União de Leiria in the Portugal Segunda Liga (matchday 10) on Monday 9 November 2026, kick-off 21:15 WAT at Estadio Manuel Marques in Torres Vedras. Helder Carvalho was the referee.

Torreense are 13th in the table with 10 points from 9 games (2-4-3), while União de Leiria sit 9th on 14 points. União de Leiria have a 4-point advantage. At home Torreense have won 1 of 4; União de Leiria have won 1 of 4 on the road.

Torreense have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-D-L-W-D), averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.2 conceded. União de Leiria have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-D-L-D-W), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.

In their last 6 meetings Torreense have won 4, União de Leiria 1, with 1 draw and an average of 2.7 goals per game. The most recent, in February 2026, finished Torreense 3-1 União de Leiria.

Torreense average 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. União de Leiria average 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2.

Line-ups: Torreense lined up in a 4-2-3-1, União de Leiria in a 4-4-2.

Before kick-off, bookmakers made Torreense the favourites: Torreense 1.90, draw 3.40, União de Leiria 3.75 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.73 and under at 2.08. Both teams to score: yes 1.62, no 2.20.

Our prediction was Torreense or draw (1X). The model gives Torreense or a draw a 90% chance, Torreense have lost only 1 of their last 5 and they are unbeaten in 3 of 4 home games.

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
9União de Leiria9423+214
13Torreense9243-210

Season stats

TorreenseUnião de Leiria
Played99
Won / Drawn / Lost2 / 4 / 34 / 2 / 3
Goals scored (per game)8 (0.9)13 (1.4)
Goals conceded (per game)10 (1.1)11 (1.2)
Scored at home / away (per game)0.8 / 1.01.2 / 1.8
Clean sheets42
Failed to score42
Longest winning run13
Biggest win1-02-0
Usual formation4-2-3-14-4-2

Odds (Bet365)

Torreense1.90 Draw3.40 União de Leiria3.75 1X1.22 121.28 X21.80 Over 1.51.22 Under 1.54.00 Over 3.52.75 Under 3.51.40 Over 2.51.73 Under 2.52.08 BTTS Yes1.62 BTTS No2.20

Odds before kick-off.

Starting line-ups

Torreense (4-2-3-1)

Adriel, David Bruno, M. Diadie, Volnei Feltes, Javi Vázquez, João Marques, Alejandro Alfaro, L. Quintero, Manu Pozo, D. Jean, Jorge Aguirre

Coach: João Nuno

União de Leiria (4-4-2)

J. Odehnal, Maga, Marcelo, Zé Pedro, Marc Baró, Jaime, Ibrahima, E. Kouassi, Jair da Silva, Juan Muñoz, Pablo Fernández

Coach: Fábio Pereira

Data: API-Football · updated 9 Nov 2026, 23:30. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

Win probability

Torreense 45% Draw 45% União de Leiria 10%

Our tip: Torreense or draw (1X) — The model gives Torreense or a draw a 90% chance, Torreense have lost only 1 of their last 5 and they are unbeaten in 3 of 4 home games.

Form (last 5)

Torreense WDLWD 0.6 scored · 0.2 conceded per game
União de Leiria WDLDW 1.2 scored · 1.2 conceded per game

Team comparison

TorreenseUnião de Leiria
50% 50% Form
33% 67% Attack
86% 14% Defence
32% 68% Poisson
80% 20% Head-to-head
69% 31% Goals
58% 42% Overall

Head-to-head

4 Torreense wins 1 draws 1 União de Leiria wins last 6 meetings

  • Torreense3 - 1União de Leiria Segunda Liga
  • Torreense3 - 1União de Leiria Taça de Portugal
  • União de Leiria1 - 0Torreense Segunda Liga
  • União de Leiria1 - 3Torreense Segunda Liga
  • Torreense2 - 1União de Leiria Segunda Liga
  • Torreense0 - 0União de Leiria Friendlies Clubs

Statistics: API-Football · updated 9 Nov 2026, 18:30. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).