Toulouse vs Estac Troyes
France Ligue 1
Toulouse
Estac Troyes
October 25, 2026 at 17:15 · Stadium Municipal
Won
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes prediction and betting tip for this France Ligue 1 match, kicking off October 25, 2026 at 17:15 at Stadium Municipal. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X), 90% confidence. Final score: 0-0 (0-0). The tip won.
Toulouse 0-0 Estac Troyes: Match Report
Toulouse and Estac Troyes played out a goalless draw at Stadium Municipal in the France Ligue 1 on Sunday. It was goalless at half-time.
Toulouse had 63% of the ball and 7 shots (3 on target) to Estac Troyes's 8 (0). Expected goals finished Toulouse 0.7, Estac Troyes 0.38, so a draw was a fair result.
Referee Geoffrey Kubler showed 8 yellow cards.
Our tip, Toulouse or draw (1X), won as the game ended level.
Goals & cards
- 25' Rafik Messali Toulouse · Yellow Card
- 25' Aron Dønnum Toulouse · Yellow Card
- 36' Junior Diaz Estac Troyes · Yellow Card
- 39' Cristian Casseres Toulouse · Yellow Card
- 40' Timothee Nkada Estac Troyes · Yellow Card
- 83' Niko Sigur Toulouse · Yellow Card
- 88' Jens Berthel Askou Toulouse · Yellow Card
- 89' Alexis Vossah Toulouse · Yellow Card
- 90+3' Mark McKenzie Toulouse · Yellow Card
Match stats
Before the match
Toulouse hosted Estac Troyes in the France Ligue 1 (matchday 8) on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 17:15 WAT at Stadium Municipal in Toulouse. Geoffrey Kubler was the referee.
Toulouse are 12th in the table with 9 points from 7 games (2-3-2), while Estac Troyes sit 17th on 4 points. Toulouse have a 5-point advantage. At home Toulouse have won 1 of 3; Estac Troyes have won 1 of 3 on the road.
Toulouse have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (L-D-W-D-W), averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Estac Troyes have five defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-L-L), averaging 0.6 goals scored and 3.0 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Toulouse have won 4, Estac Troyes 0, with 2 draws and an average of 3.0 goals per game. The most recent, in February 2023, finished Toulouse 4-1 Estac Troyes.
Toulouse average 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Estac Troyes average 0.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
Toulouse will be without M. Niflore (injury) and S. Oppong (calf injury). Estac Troyes will be without I. Boura (hip injury), Y. Kone (knee injury), A. Ouzenadji (knee injury) and Y. Titi (leg injury).
Players to watch: C. Tengstedt leads Toulouse's scoring with 5 goals and 1 assist.
Line-ups: Toulouse lined up in a 4-4-2, Estac Troyes in a 4-3-3.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Toulouse the favourites: Toulouse 1.50, draw 4.20, Estac Troyes 6.50 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.62 and under at 2.30. Both teams to score: yes 1.70, no 2.05.
Our prediction was Toulouse or draw (1X). The model gives Toulouse or a draw a 90% chance, Toulouse have lost only 1 of their last 5 and they sit 12th, 5 places above Estac Troyes.
Team news
- Out M. Niflore Injury
- Out S. Oppong Calf Injury
- Out I. Boura Hip Injury
- Out Y. Kone Knee Injury
- Out A. Ouzenadji Knee Injury
- Out Y. Titi Leg Injury
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
Season stats
| Toulouse | Estac Troyes | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 7 | 7 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 2 / 3 / 2 | 1 / 1 / 5 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 12 (1.7) | 5 (0.7) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 11 (1.6) | 16 (2.3) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.0 / 2.3 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- C. Tengstedt 5 goals · 1 assist
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
G. Restes, R. Messali, M. McKenzie, R. Nicolaisen, C. Tapé, A. Dønnum, C. Cásseres, N. Sigur, T. Jørgensen, J. Russell-Rowe, C. Tengstedt
Coach: Jens Berthel Askou
H. Konaté, L. Maronnier, A. Monfray, M. Diaz, P. Gozzi, A. Mille, D. Karim, M. Diop, M. Ifnaoui, R. Ripart, T. Nkada
Coach: S. Dumont
Data: API-Football · updated 25 Oct 2026, 19:30. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
Win probability
Our tip: Toulouse or draw (1X) — The model gives Toulouse or a draw a 90% chance, Toulouse have lost only 1 of their last 5 and they sit 12th, 5 places above Estac Troyes.
Form (last 5)
Toulouse
LDWDW
2.0 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Estac Troyes
LLLLL
0.6 scored · 3.0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
4 Toulouse wins 2 draws 0 Estac Troyes wins last 6 meetings
- Toulouse4 - 1Estac Troyes Ligue 1
- Estac Troyes0 - 3Toulouse Ligue 1
- Toulouse6 - 1Estac Troyes Friendlies Clubs
- Estac Troyes1 - 1Toulouse Ligue 2
- Toulouse0 - 0Estac Troyes Ligue 2
- Toulouse1 - 0Estac Troyes Ligue 1
Statistics: API-Football · updated 25 Oct 2026, 06:10. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
