Valencia vs Villarreal
Spain La Liga
Valencia
Villarreal
October 24, 2026 at 17:30 · Estadio de Mestalla
Won
Valencia vs Villarreal prediction and betting tip for this Spain La Liga match, kicking off October 24, 2026 at 17:30 at Estadio de Mestalla. Our tip: Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2), 90% confidence. Final score: 1-2 (1-0). The tip won.
Valencia 1-2 Villarreal: Match Report
Villarreal won 2-1 away at Valencia in the Spain La Liga on Saturday, coming from behind. Valencia led 1-0 at half-time.
José Luis García Vayá opened the scoring for Valencia on 38 minutes from the penalty spot. Alex Freeman levelled for Villarreal on 69 minutes, set up by Sergi Cardona Bermúdez. Georges Mikautadze won it for Villarreal in stoppage time (90+6'), set up by Alberto Moleiro.
Villarreal had 62% of the ball, while Valencia had 9 shots (5 on target) to Villarreal's 19 (3). Expected goals finished Valencia 1.17, Villarreal 1.21, a close game on chances.
Pape Gueye (Villarreal, 79') and Harvey Elliott (Valencia, 89') were sent off. Referee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez showed 6 yellow cards.
Our tip, Villarreal or draw (X2), won as Villarreal won.
Goals & cards
- 34' Daniel Raba Antolín Valencia · Yellow Card
- 37' Renato Veiga Villarreal · Yellow Card
- 38' José Luis García Vayá Valencia · Penalty
- 43' Ayoze Pérez Villarreal · Yellow Card
- 59' Tajon Buchanan Villarreal · Yellow Card
- 60' Pablo Maffeo Valencia · Yellow Card
- 62' Guido Rodríguez Valencia · Yellow Card
- 69' Alex Freeman Villarreal · assist Sergi Cardona Bermúdez
- 79' Pape Gueye Villarreal · Red Card
- 89' Harvey Elliott Valencia · Yellow Card
- 89' Harvey Elliott Valencia · Red Card
- 90+6' Georges Mikautadze Villarreal · assist Alberto Moleiro
Match stats
Before the match
Valencia hosted Villarreal in the Spain La Liga (matchday 10) on Saturday 24 October 2026, kick-off 17:30 WAT at Estadio de Mestalla in Valdivia. Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez was the referee.
Valencia are 19th in the table with 6 points from 9 games (1-3-5), while Villarreal sit 12th on 9 points. Only 3 points separate them. At home Valencia have won 0 of 5; Villarreal have won 1 of 5 on the road.
Valencia have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-L-D-D), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Villarreal have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-W-L-D), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Valencia have won 1, Villarreal 3, with 2 draws and an average of 2.3 goals per game. The most recent, in February 2026, finished Villarreal 2-1 Valencia.
Valencia average 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets and 5 games without scoring, usually in a 5-4-1. Villarreal average 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2.
Valencia will be without S. Canos (knee injury), J. Copete (knee injury), D. Foulquier (knee injury), D. Lopez (knee injury) and U. Sadiq (muscle injury). Villarreal will be without N. Pepe (eye injury) and C. Romero (injury).
Line-ups: Valencia lined up in a 4-4-2, Villarreal in a 4-4-2.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Villarreal the favourites: Valencia 3.50, draw 3.50, Villarreal 2.05 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.73 and under at 2.10. Both teams to score: yes 1.62, no 2.20.
Our prediction was Villarreal or draw (X2). The model gives Villarreal or a draw a 90% chance, Villarreal sit 12th, 7 places above Valencia and bookmakers make Villarreal favourites at 2.05.
Team news
- Out S. Canos Knee Injury
- Out J. Copete Knee Injury
- Out D. Foulquier Knee Injury
- Out D. Lopez Knee Injury
- Out U. Sadiq Muscle Injury
- Out N. Pepe Eye injury
- Out C. Romero Injury
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Villarreal | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 19 | Valencia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 6 |
Season stats
| Valencia | Villarreal | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 9 | 9 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 1 / 3 / 5 | 2 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 6 (0.7) | 13 (1.4) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 15 (1.7) | 13 (1.4) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 0.4 / 1.0 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 3 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Usual formation | 5-4-1 | 4-4-2 |
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
S. Dimitrievski, Pablo Maffeo, César Tárrega, J. de Haas, José Gayà, David Otorbi, G. Rodríguez, Pepelu, Luis Rioja, Javi Guerra, A. Danjuma
Coach: J. Aguirre
P. Gulácsi, S. Mouriño, J. Foyth, Renato Veiga, A. Freeman, Ilias Akhomach, C. Macia, P. Gueye, T. Buchanan, Gerard Moreno, Ayoze Pérez
Coach: Iñigo Pérez
Data: API-Football · updated 24 Oct 2026, 19:31. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
Win probability
Our tip: Villarreal or draw (X2) — The model gives Villarreal or a draw a 90% chance, Villarreal sit 12th, 7 places above Valencia and bookmakers make Villarreal favourites at 2.05.
Form (last 5)
Valencia
LWLDD
1.0 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Villarreal
LWWLD
1.4 scored · 1.0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 Valencia wins 2 draws 3 Villarreal wins last 6 meetings
- Villarreal2 - 1Valencia La Liga
- Valencia0 - 2Villarreal La Liga
- Villarreal1 - 1Valencia La Liga
- Valencia1 - 1Villarreal La Liga
- Villarreal1 - 0Valencia La Liga
- Valencia3 - 1Villarreal La Liga
Statistics: API-Football · updated 24 Oct 2026, 09:31. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
