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Watford vs Middlesbrough

England Championship

Watford Watford
VS
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough

November 7, 2026 at 16:00 · Vicarage Road

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Predicted Outcome Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2)
Confidence 90%

Watford vs Middlesbrough prediction and betting tip for this England Championship match, kicking off November 7, 2026 at 16:00 at Vicarage Road. Our tip: Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2), 90% confidence.

Watford vs Middlesbrough Preview

Watford host Middlesbrough in the England Championship (matchday 15) on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 WAT at Vicarage Road in Watford. Gavin Ward is the referee.

Watford are 20th in the table with 14 points from 14 games (4-2-8), while Middlesbrough sit 1st on 28 points. Middlesbrough have a 14-point advantage. At home Watford have won 4 of 7; Middlesbrough have won 3 of 7 on the road.

Watford have two wins and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-L-L-W), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Middlesbrough have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-D-W-W-L), averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.

In their last 6 meetings Watford have won 3, Middlesbrough 3, with 0 draws and an average of 3.7 goals per game. The most recent, in April 2026, finished Middlesbrough 5-1 Watford.

Watford average 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 5 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Middlesbrough average 2.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.

No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.

Players to watch: W. Lankshear leads Middlesbrough's scoring with 13 goals.

Bookmakers make Middlesbrough the favourites: Watford 5.50, draw 4.20, Middlesbrough 1.55 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.50 and under at 2.62. Both teams to score: yes 1.53, no 2.38.

Our prediction: Middlesbrough or draw (X2). The model gives Middlesbrough or a draw a 90% chance, Middlesbrough have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 19 places above Watford.

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Middlesbrough14842+1128
20Watford14428-1014

Season stats

WatfordMiddlesbrough
Played1414
Won / Drawn / Lost4 / 2 / 88 / 4 / 2
Goals scored (per game)13 (0.9)30 (2.1)
Goals conceded (per game)23 (1.6)19 (1.4)
Scored at home / away (per game)1.3 / 0.62.4 / 1.9
Clean sheets23
Failed to score51
Longest winning run12
Biggest win2-03-0
Usual formation4-2-3-14-2-3-1

Top scorers

Watford

No player in the league's top scorers list.

Middlesbrough
  • W. Lankshear 13 goals · 0 assists

Odds (Bet365)

Watford5.50 Draw4.20 Middlesbrough1.55 1X2.38 121.22 X21.14 Over 1.51.14 Under 1.55.50 Over 3.52.20 Under 3.51.67 Over 2.51.50 Under 2.52.62 BTTS Yes1.53 BTTS No2.38

Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.

Data: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 15:30. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

Win probability

Watford 10% Draw 45% Middlesbrough 45%

Our tip: Middlesbrough or draw (X2) — The model gives Middlesbrough or a draw a 90% chance, Middlesbrough have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 19 places above Watford.

Form (last 5)

Watford LWLLW 1.2 scored · 1.8 conceded per game
Middlesbrough WDWWL 2.6 scored · 1.4 conceded per game

Team comparison

WatfordMiddlesbrough
38% 63% Form
32% 68% Attack
44% 56% Defence
38% 62% Poisson
60% 40% Head-to-head
47% 53% Goals
43% 57% Overall

Head-to-head

3 Watford wins 0 draws 3 Middlesbrough wins last 6 meetings

  • Middlesbrough5 - 1Watford Championship
  • Watford3 - 0Middlesbrough Championship
  • Middlesbrough0 - 1Watford Championship
  • Watford2 - 1Middlesbrough Championship
  • Middlesbrough3 - 1Watford Championship
  • Watford2 - 3Middlesbrough Championship

Statistics: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 15:10. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).