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Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction, H2H Results, Standings & Match Preview

Milan will face Fiorentina at the legendary San Siro (Giuseppe Meazza) on 19 October 2025 at 18:45 UTC in the Serie A.

Milan, currently 4th in the table, are looking to close the gap to the top three, while Fiorentina — sitting in 18th — are battling to escape the relegation zone. This match is a clash between two teams with completely different ambitions: Milan chasing European qualification and Fiorentina fighting for survival.

Head-to-Head (H2H) Record

These two historic Italian clubs have met countless times in Serie A, producing intense battles filled with drama and quality. Milan have had the upper hand in recent seasons.

Last 5 H2H Results:

  • Milan Wins: 3

  • Draws: 1

  • Fiorentina Wins: 1

Most Recent Meeting:

  • Fiorentina 1–2 Milan – Goals from Rafael Leão and Olivier Giroud secured a comeback victory for the Rossoneri.

Current Form & Team Analysis

AC Milan (4th Place)

Milan have had a solid start to their Serie A campaign, showing improved attacking balance and consistency at home. Under Stefano Pioli, they continue to rely on quick transitions and wing play, with Rafael Leão and Pulisic being crucial in attack.

  • Last 5 Matches: W-W-D-L-W

  • Goals Scored per Game: 1.8

  • Goals Conceded per Game: 1.0

  • Key Players: Rafael Leão, Olivier Giroud, Christian Pulisic, Theo Hernández

Milan’s defense has tightened up at San Siro, and their pace on the counter often proves too much for teams in the bottom half like Fiorentina.

Fiorentina (18th Place)

Fiorentina’s season has been difficult so far. Despite showing attacking intent, they’ve struggled to convert chances and often get exposed defensively. Their away form has been particularly poor, managing only one point from their last five road games.

  • Last 5 Matches: L-D-L-L-D

  • Goals Scored per Game: 0.9

  • Goals Conceded per Game: 1.9

  • Key Players: Nico González, Lucas Beltrán, Giacomo Bonaventura, Arthur

To get anything from this match, Fiorentina will need to stay compact defensively and hit Milan on the break — something they’ve failed to execute effectively this season.

Predicted Lineups

Milan (Expected XI):
Maignan (GK); Calabria, Thiaw, Tomori, Hernández; Reijnders, Bennacer, Loftus-Cheek; Pulisic, Giroud, Leão

Fiorentina (Expected XI):
Terracciano (GK); Dodo, Milenković, Martínez Quarta, Biraghi; Arthur, Mandragora; Ikoné, Bonaventura, González; Beltrán

Match Prediction & Betting Tips

Main Prediction:

  • Milan to Win ✅

Alternative Predictions:

  • Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both Teams to Score: Yes

  • Correct Score: 3–1

Milan have the form, quality, and home advantage to secure all three points comfortably. Fiorentina may pose a threat on the counter, but Milan’s attacking trio should be too strong, especially at San Siro.

Statistical Insights

  • Milan have won their last 5 home matches vs Fiorentina.

  • Fiorentina have failed to win any of their last 6 Serie A games.

  • Milan average 2.1 goals at home, while Fiorentina concede 1.9 goals per away match.

  • Rafael Leão has been directly involved in 7 goals in his last 8 appearances.

WinonbetOnline Expert Verdict

Expect Milan to dominate possession and create plenty of scoring chances from wide areas. Fiorentina’s defensive vulnerabilities could lead to an early breakthrough for the hosts.

Prediction: AC Milan Win (3–1)
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
Both Teams to Score: Yes

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