Bolton vs Middlesbrough
England Championship
Bolton
Middlesbrough
October 23, 2026 at 20:00 · Toughsheet Community Stadium
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Bolton vs Middlesbrough prediction and betting tip for this England Championship match, kicking off October 23, 2026 at 20:00 at Toughsheet Community Stadium. Our tip: Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2), 90% confidence.
Bolton vs Middlesbrough Preview
Bolton host Middlesbrough in the England Championship (matchday 12) on Friday 23 October 2026, kick-off 20:00 WAT at Toughsheet Community Stadium in Horwich. Simon Hooper is the referee.
Bolton are 15th in the table with 14 points from 11 games (4-2-5), while Middlesbrough sit 3rd on 22 points. Middlesbrough have a 8-point advantage. At home Bolton have won 2 of 5; Middlesbrough have won 2 of 5 on the road.
Bolton have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-W-L-W-D), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Middlesbrough have two wins and three draws in their last 5 league games (D-D-W-W-D), averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Bolton have won 0, Middlesbrough 6, with 0 draws and an average of 2.7 goals per game. The most recent, in July 2024, finished Middlesbrough 3-0 Bolton.
Bolton average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Middlesbrough average 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
Bolton will be without J. Nelson (inactive), and C. Forino-Joseph (groin injury) is doubtful. Middlesbrough will be without A. Jones (calf injury), R. Pukstas (injury) and D. Strelec (injury).
Players to watch: S. Dalby leads Bolton's scoring with 4 goals; W. Lankshear leads Middlesbrough's scoring with 9 goals.
Bookmakers make Middlesbrough the favourites: Bolton 5.25, draw 4.20, Middlesbrough 1.57 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.53 and under at 2.50. Both teams to score: yes 1.57, no 2.25.
Our prediction: Middlesbrough or draw (X2). The model gives Middlesbrough or a draw a 90% chance, Middlesbrough have lost only 0 of their last 5 and they sit 3rd, 12 places above Bolton.
Team news
- Out J. Nelson Inactive
- Doubtful C. Forino-Joseph Groin Injury
- Out A. Jones Calf Injury
- Out R. Pukstas Injury
- Out D. Strelec Injury
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 22 |
| 15 | Bolton | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
Season stats
| Bolton | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 11 | 11 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 4 / 2 / 5 | 6 / 4 / 1 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 15 (1.4) | 22 (2.0) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 18 (1.6) | 16 (1.5) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 2.3 / 1.6 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 0 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- S. Dalby 4 goals · 0 assists
- W. Lankshear 9 goals · 0 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 23 Oct 2026, 09:30. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
Win probability
Our tip: Middlesbrough or draw (X2) — The model gives Middlesbrough or a draw a 90% chance, Middlesbrough have lost only 0 of their last 5 and they sit 3rd, 12 places above Bolton.
Form (last 5)
Team comparison
Head-to-head
0 Bolton wins 0 draws 6 Middlesbrough wins last 6 meetings
- Middlesbrough3 - 0Bolton Friendlies Clubs
- Bolton1 - 3Middlesbrough League Cup
- Bolton0 - 2Middlesbrough Championship
- Middlesbrough2 - 0Bolton Championship
- Middlesbrough2 - 0Bolton Championship
- Bolton0 - 3Middlesbrough Championship
Statistics: API-Football · updated 23 Oct 2026, 02:47. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
