Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios
Colombia Primera A
Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
November 9, 2026 at 00:10 · Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Lost
Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios prediction and betting tip for this Colombia Primera A match, kicking off November 9, 2026 at 00:10 at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro. Our tip: Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2), 90% confidence. Final score: 2-1 (2-1). The tip lost.
Deportes Tolima 2-1 Millonarios: Match Report
Deportes Tolima beat Millonarios 2-1 at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro in the Colombia Primera A on Monday, coming from behind. Deportes Tolima led 2-1 at half-time.
J. Cuadrado opened the scoring for Millonarios on 8 minutes. E. Valencia levelled for Deportes Tolima on 25 minutes from the penalty spot. K. Florez won it for Deportes Tolima on 36 minutes, set up by H. E. Martinez Yepez.
Millonarios had 54% of the ball, while Deportes Tolima had 11 shots (2 on target) to Millonarios's 12 (4). Expected goals finished Deportes Tolima 1.38, Millonarios 0.66, so Deportes Tolima deserved the win.
S. Aguayo (Deportes Tolima, 90+5') was sent off. Referee Edwin Ferney Trujillo Castro showed 9 yellow cards.
Our tip, Millonarios or draw (X2), lost as Deportes Tolima won.
Goals & cards
- 8' J. Cuadrado Millonarios
- 9' H. E. Martinez Yepez Deportes Tolima · Yellow Card
- 14' M. Garcia Millonarios · Yellow Card
- 18' S. Vega Millonarios · Yellow Card
- 25' E. Valencia Deportes Tolima · Penalty
- 27' J. Cuadrado Millonarios · Yellow Card
- 36' K. Florez Deportes Tolima · assist H. E. Martinez Yepez
- 45+1' J. Hernandez Deportes Tolima · Yellow Card
- 45+3' S. Mosquera Millonarios · Yellow Card
- 46' K. Florez Deportes Tolima · Yellow Card
- 75' J. Mosquera Deportes Tolima · Yellow Card
- 82' L. Sandoval Deportes Tolima · Yellow Card
- 90+5' S. Aguayo Deportes Tolima · Red Card
Match stats
Before the match
Deportes Tolima hosted Millonarios in the Colombia Primera A (Clausura - 18) on Monday 9 November 2026, kick-off 00:10 WAT at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro in Ibague. Edwin Ferney Trujillo Castro was the referee.
Deportes Tolima are 11th in the table with 23 points from 17 games (6-5-6), while Millonarios sit 7th on 27 points. Millonarios have a 4-point advantage. At home Deportes Tolima have won 3 of 8; Millonarios have won 3 of 9 on the road.
Deportes Tolima have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-L-L-W), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Millonarios have one win and four draws in their last 5 league games (D-D-W-D-D), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Deportes Tolima have won 2, Millonarios 4, with 0 draws and an average of 2.0 goals per game. The most recent, in April 2026, finished Millonarios 2-0 Deportes Tolima.
Deportes Tolima average 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 12 clean sheets and 12 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Millonarios average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 12 clean sheets and 6 games without scoring, usually in a 5-3-2.
Players to watch: A. Parra leads Deportes Tolima's scoring with 9 goals and 5 assists; A. Estupiñán leads Millonarios's scoring with 19 goals and 4 assists.
Line-ups: Deportes Tolima lined up in a 4-2-3-1, Millonarios in a 4-2-3-1.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Deportes Tolima the favourites: Deportes Tolima 2.20, draw 3.25, Millonarios 3.25 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.15 and under at 1.67. Both teams to score: yes 1.83, no 1.83.
Our prediction was Millonarios or draw (X2). The model gives Millonarios or a draw a 90% chance, Millonarios have lost only 0 of their last 5 and they sit 7th, 4 places above Deportes Tolima.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Millonarios | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | +10 | 27 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | +1 | 23 |
Season stats
| Deportes Tolima | Millonarios | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 40 | 36 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 16 / 12 / 12 | 13 / 14 / 9 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 52 (1.3) | 55 (1.5) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 41 (1.0) | 37 (1.0) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 12 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 12 | 6 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 4-1 | 5-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 5-3-2 |
Top scorers
- A. Parra 9 goals · 5 assists
- A. Estupiñán 19 goals · 4 assists
- L. Castro 12 goals · 6 assists
- R. Contreras 10 goals · 1 assist
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
Miguel Ortega, Jherson Mosquera, Yordan Osorio, Juan Mera, Junior Hernández, Homer Martinez, Brayan Rovira, Kelvin Florez, Ever Valencia, Jorge Hurtado, Adrián Parra
Javier Burrai, Samuel Martín, Stiven Barreiro, Sergio Mosquera, Danovis Banguero, Stiven Vega, Mateo García, Daniel Ruiz, David Macalister Silva, Juan Cuadrado, Rodrigo Contreras
Data: API-Football · updated 9 Nov 2026, 02:30. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
Win probability
Our tip: Millonarios or draw (X2) — The model gives Millonarios or a draw a 90% chance, Millonarios have lost only 0 of their last 5 and they sit 7th, 4 places above Deportes Tolima.
Form (last 5)
Deportes Tolima
DLLLW
1.2 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Millonarios
DDWDD
1.6 scored · 1.0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Deportes Tolima wins 0 draws 4 Millonarios wins last 6 meetings
- Millonarios2 - 0Deportes Tolima Primera A
- Deportes Tolima3 - 1Millonarios Primera A
- Millonarios2 - 0Deportes Tolima Primera A
- Millonarios1 - 0Deportes Tolima Primera A
- Deportes Tolima2 - 0Millonarios Primera A
- Millonarios1 - 0Deportes Tolima Primera A
Statistics: API-Football · updated 8 Nov 2026, 14:10. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
