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Bulgaria vs Iceland

UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria Bulgaria
VS
Iceland Iceland

November 13, 2026 at 20:45 · Hristo Botev Stadium

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Predicted Outcome Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2)
Confidence 99%

Bulgaria vs Iceland prediction and betting tip for this UEFA Nations League match, kicking off November 13, 2026 at 20:45 at Hristo Botev Stadium. Our tip: Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2), 99% confidence.

More tips for this match
  • Under 3.5 Goals Upcoming

Bulgaria vs Iceland Preview

Bulgaria host Iceland in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 5) on Friday 13 November 2026, kick-off 20:45 WAT at Hristo Botev Stadium in Plovdiv. Florian Badstubner is the referee.

Bulgaria are 3rd in the table with 4 points from 4 games (1-1-2), while Iceland sit 1st on 8 points. Iceland have a 4-point advantage. At home Bulgaria have won 0 of 2; Iceland have won 1 of 2 on the road.

Bulgaria have one win, one draw and two defeats in their last 4 league games (L-D-L-W), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Iceland have two wins and two draws in their last 4 league games (D-W-W-D), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.3 conceded.

In their last 1 meetings Bulgaria have won 0, Iceland 1, with 0 draws and an average of 3.0 goals per game. The most recent, in October 2026, finished Iceland 3-0 Bulgaria.

Bulgaria average 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Iceland average 1.8 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2.

No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.

Players to watch: O. Óskarsson leads Iceland's scoring with 3 goals and 2 assists.

Bookmakers make Iceland the favourites: Bulgaria 4.33, draw 3.50, Iceland 1.83 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.10 and under at 1.70. Both teams to score: yes 2.00, no 1.73.

Our prediction: Iceland or draw (X2). The model gives Iceland or a draw a 100% chance, Iceland have lost only 0 of their last 4 and bookmakers make Iceland favourites at 1.83.

UEFA Nations League table

League C - Group D

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1 Iceland 4220 +6 8 DWWD
2 Estonia 4130 +1 6 DWDD
3 Bulgaria 4112 -2 4 WLDL
4 Luxembourg 4103 -5 3 LLLW

Season stats

BulgariaIceland
Played44
Won / Drawn / Lost1 / 1 / 22 / 2 / 0
Goals scored (per game)3 (0.8)7 (1.8)
Goals conceded (per game)5 (1.3)1 (0.3)
Scored at home / away (per game)0.5 / 1.02.0 / 1.5
Clean sheets23
Failed to score21
Longest winning run02
Biggest win0-23-0
Usual formation4-2-3-14-4-2

Top scorers

Bulgaria

No player in the league's top scorers list.

Iceland
  • O. Óskarsson 3 goals · 2 assists

Odds (Bet365)

Bulgaria4.33 Draw3.50 Iceland1.83 1X1.91 121.28 X21.17 Over 1.51.36 Under 1.53.00 Over 3.53.75 Under 3.51.25 Over 2.52.10 Under 2.51.70 BTTS Yes2.00 BTTS No1.73

Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.

Data: API-Football · updated 12 Nov 2026, 12:31. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

Win probability

Bulgaria 0% Draw 50% Iceland 50%

Our tip: Iceland or draw (X2) — The model gives Iceland or a draw a 100% chance, Iceland have lost only 0 of their last 4 and bookmakers make Iceland favourites at 1.83.

Form (last 5)

Bulgaria LDLW 0.8 scored · 1.3 conceded per game
Iceland DWWD 1.8 scored · 0.3 conceded per game

Team comparison

BulgariaIceland
33% 67% Form
30% 70% Attack
17% 83% Defence
0% 100% Poisson
0% 100% Head-to-head
0% 100% Goals
27% 73% Overall

Head-to-head

0 Bulgaria wins 0 draws 1 Iceland wins last 1 meeting

  • Iceland3 - 0Bulgaria UEFA Nations League

Statistics: API-Football · updated 12 Nov 2026, 06:10. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).