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Luxembourg vs Estonia

UEFA Nations League

Luxembourg Luxembourg
VS
Estonia Estonia

November 13, 2026 at 20:45 · Stade de Luxembourg

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Predicted Outcome Under 3.5 Goals

Luxembourg vs Estonia prediction and betting tip for this UEFA Nations League match, kicking off November 13, 2026 at 20:45 at Stade de Luxembourg. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals.

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Luxembourg vs Estonia Preview

Luxembourg host Estonia in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 5) on Friday 13 November 2026, kick-off 20:45 WAT at Stade de Luxembourg. Ishmael Barbara is the referee.

Luxembourg are 4th in the table with 3 points from 4 games (1-0-3), while Estonia sit 2nd on 6 points. Only 3 points separate them. At home Luxembourg have won 0 of 2; Estonia have won 0 of 2 on the road.

Luxembourg have one win and three defeats in their last 4 league games (W-L-L-L), averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Estonia have one win and three draws in their last 4 league games (D-D-W-D), averaging 0.5 goals scored and 0.3 conceded.

In their last 1 meetings Luxembourg have won 0, Estonia 1, with 0 draws and an average of 1.0 goals per game. The most recent, in October 2026, finished Estonia 1-0 Luxembourg.

Luxembourg average 0.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 4-1-4-1. Estonia average 0.5 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 5-3-2.

No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.

Bookmakers make Luxembourg the favourites: Luxembourg 2.15, draw 3.10, Estonia 3.50 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.50 and under at 1.50. Both teams to score: yes 2.10, no 1.67.

Our prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 1.5 goals, recent form points to 1.5 goals a game and bookmakers price under 3.5 at 1.17.

UEFA Nations League table

League C - Group D

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1 Iceland 4220 +6 8 DWWD
2 Estonia 4130 +1 6 DWDD
3 Bulgaria 4112 -2 4 WLDL
4 Luxembourg 4103 -5 3 LLLW

Season stats

LuxembourgEstonia
Played44
Won / Drawn / Lost1 / 0 / 31 / 3 / 0
Goals scored (per game)2 (0.5)2 (0.5)
Goals conceded (per game)7 (1.8)1 (0.3)
Scored at home / away (per game)0.0 / 1.00.5 / 0.5
Clean sheets03
Failed to score32
Longest winning run11
Biggest win1-21-0
Usual formation4-1-4-15-3-2

Odds (Bet365)

Luxembourg2.15 Draw3.10 Estonia3.50 1X1.28 121.36 X21.67 Over 1.51.50 Under 1.52.50 Over 3.54.50 Under 3.51.17 Over 2.52.50 Under 2.51.50 BTTS Yes2.10 BTTS No1.67

Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.

Data: API-Football · updated 12 Nov 2026, 12:31. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

Win probability

Luxembourg 10% Draw 45% Estonia 45%

Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 1.5 goals, recent form points to 1.5 goals a game and bookmakers price under 3.5 at 1.17.

Form (last 5)

Luxembourg WLLL 0.5 scored · 1.8 conceded per game
Estonia DDWD 0.5 scored · 0.3 conceded per game

Team comparison

LuxembourgEstonia
33% 67% Form
50% 50% Attack
13% 88% Defence
0% 100% Poisson
0% 100% Head-to-head
0% 100% Goals
32% 68% Overall

Head-to-head

0 Luxembourg wins 0 draws 1 Estonia wins last 1 meeting

  • Estonia1 - 0Luxembourg UEFA Nations League

Statistics: API-Football · updated 12 Nov 2026, 06:10. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).