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Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion

England League One

Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
VS
Burton Albion Burton Albion

November 14, 2026 at 16:00 · Stadium MK

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Predicted Outcome Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X)

Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion prediction and betting tip for this England League One match, kicking off November 14, 2026 at 16:00 at Stadium MK. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X).

Why we pick: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X)

  • Milton Keynes Dons are the stronger side on Elo rating (+105).
  • Milton Keynes Dons lost only 1 of their last 6 home games.
  • Burton Albion won just 1 of their last 6 away games.
  • Better recent form: 1.8 vs 1.1 points per game.
  • Higher in the table: 12th vs 15th.
  • Bookmakers agree: 80% chance (margin removed).

Model probability: 76%

Facts from this season's and last season's results. A pick is only made when several of them agree and nothing points the other way. No bet is ever certain — please gamble responsibly (18+).

Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion Preview

Milton Keynes Dons host Burton Albion in the England League One (matchday 15) on Saturday 14 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 WAT at Stadium MK in Milton Keynes.

Milton Keynes Dons are 12th in the table with 18 points from 13 games (4-6-3), while Burton Albion sit 15th on 17 points. Only 1 point separates them. At home Milton Keynes Dons have won 3 of 7; Burton Albion have won 2 of 7 on the road.

Milton Keynes Dons have four wins and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-L-W-W-W), averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Burton Albion have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (L-D-D-W-L), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.

In their last 6 meetings Milton Keynes Dons have won 4, Burton Albion 0, with 2 draws and an average of 1.7 goals per game. The most recent, in May 2023, finished Burton Albion 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons.

Milton Keynes Dons average 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 3-1-4-2. Burton Albion average 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-2-1.

No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.

Players to watch: A. Collins leads Milton Keynes Dons's scoring with 13 goals and 3 assists.

Bookmakers make Milton Keynes Dons the favourites: Milton Keynes Dons 1.65, draw 3.80, Burton Albion 4.75 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.65 and under at 2.20. Both teams to score: yes 1.67, no 2.10.

Our prediction: Milton Keynes Dons or draw (1X). The model gives Milton Keynes Dons or a draw a 90% chance, Milton Keynes Dons have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 12th, 3 places above Burton Albion.

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
12Milton Keynes Dons13463+218
15Burton Albion14455-317

Season stats

Milton Keynes DonsBurton Albion
Played1314
Won / Drawn / Lost4 / 6 / 34 / 5 / 5
Goals scored (per game)22 (1.7)18 (1.3)
Goals conceded (per game)20 (1.5)21 (1.5)
Scored at home / away (per game)2.1 / 1.21.7 / 0.9
Clean sheets32
Failed to score34
Longest winning run11
Biggest win6-14-1
Usual formation3-1-4-23-4-2-1

Top scorers

Milton Keynes Dons
  • A. Collins 13 goals · 3 assists
Burton Albion

No player in the league's top scorers list.

Odds (Bet365)

Milton Keynes Dons1.65 Draw3.80 Burton Albion4.75 1X1.18 121.25 X22.20 Over 1.51.18 Under 1.54.50 Over 3.52.50 Under 3.51.50 Over 2.51.65 Under 2.52.20 BTTS Yes1.67 BTTS No2.10

Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.

Data: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 22:30. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

Win probability

Milton Keynes Dons 45% Draw 45% Burton Albion 10%

Our tip: Milton Keynes Dons or draw (1X) — The model gives Milton Keynes Dons or a draw a 90% chance, Milton Keynes Dons have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 12th, 3 places above Burton Albion.

Form (last 5)

Milton Keynes Dons WLWWW 2.6 scored · 1.0 conceded per game
Burton Albion LDDWL 0.8 scored · 1.2 conceded per game

Team comparison

Milton Keynes DonsBurton Albion
71% 29% Form
76% 24% Attack
55% 45% Defence
70% 30% Poisson
85% 15% Head-to-head
71% 29% Goals
71% 29% Overall

Head-to-head

4 Milton Keynes Dons wins 2 draws 0 Burton Albion wins last 6 meetings

  • Burton Albion0 - 0Milton Keynes Dons League One
  • Milton Keynes Dons1 - 1Burton Albion League One
  • Burton Albion0 - 1Milton Keynes Dons League One
  • Milton Keynes Dons1 - 0Burton Albion League One
  • Burton Albion1 - 2Milton Keynes Dons EFL Trophy
  • Burton Albion1 - 2Milton Keynes Dons League One

Statistics: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 22:30. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).