São Bernardo vs Athletic Club
Brazil Serie B
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
November 13, 2026 at 00:00 · Estadio Primeiro de Maio
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São Bernardo vs Athletic Club prediction and betting tip for this Brazil Serie B match, kicking off November 13, 2026 at 00:00 at Estadio Primeiro de Maio. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X), 90% confidence.
Why we pick: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X)
- São Bernardo are the stronger side on Elo rating (+119).
- Athletic Club won just 1 of their last 6 away games.
- Better recent form: 1.4 vs 0.8 points per game.
- Higher in the table: 11th vs 14th.
- Bookmakers agree: 76% chance (margin removed).
Model probability: 72%
Facts from this season's and last season's results. A pick is only made when several of them agree and nothing points the other way. No bet is ever certain — please gamble responsibly (18+).
São Bernardo vs Athletic Club Preview
São Bernardo host Athletic Club in the Brazil Serie B (matchday 38) on Friday 13 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 WAT at Estadio Primeiro de Maio in San Bernado do Campo.
São Bernardo are 11th in the table with 52 points from 37 games (14-10-13), while Athletic Club sit 14th on 47 points. São Bernardo have a 5-point advantage. At home São Bernardo have won 5 of 18; Athletic Club have won 4 of 18 on the road.
São Bernardo have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-W-W-L), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Athletic Club have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (D-D-L-W-L), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
In their last 2 meetings São Bernardo have won 1, Athletic Club 1, with 0 draws and an average of 4.0 goals per game. The most recent, in July 2026, finished Athletic Club 2-1 São Bernardo.
São Bernardo average 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season, with 9 clean sheets and 7 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Athletic Club average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 9 clean sheets and 10 games without scoring, usually in a 4-1-4-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Bookmakers make São Bernardo the favourites: São Bernardo 1.70, draw 3.75, Athletic Club 4.75 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.90 and under at 1.90. Both teams to score: yes 1.83, no 1.83.
Our prediction: São Bernardo or draw (1X). The model gives São Bernardo or a draw a 90% chance, São Bernardo sit 11th, 3 places above Athletic Club and bookmakers make São Bernardo favourites at 1.70.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 37 | 20 | 10 | 7 | +34 | 70 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Juventude | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | +23 | 68 | WDWDD |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 66 | WDLDW |
| 4 | Criciuma | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | +7 | 62 | LWLWW |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | +11 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 6 | CRB | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | +6 | 58 | WLWLD |
| 7 | Goias | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | -2 | 58 | WWWDW |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | +10 | 58 | WDLDD |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | +8 | 55 | LDWLD |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 37 | 15 | 9 | 13 | -1 | 54 | WLWLL |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | +10 | 52 | LWWLD |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | +6 | 51 | WDWWW |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 47 | LLLLL |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 47 | LWLDD |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | -10 | 46 | LLWLD |
| 16 | Ceara | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | -9 | 43 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Avai | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 40 | WLLDW |
| 18 | Londrina | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | -12 | 35 | WLLLW |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 37 | 8 | 5 | 24 | -28 | 29 | WWWWL |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 37 | 3 | 6 | 28 | -58 | 15 | LLDDL |
Season stats
| São Bernardo | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 37 | 37 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 14 / 10 / 13 | 11 / 14 / 12 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 52 (1.4) | 44 (1.2) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 42 (1.1) | 44 (1.2) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 10 |
| Longest winning run | 4 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 3-0 | 5-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-1-4-1 |
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 12 Nov 2026, 12:31. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
Win probability
Our tip: São Bernardo or draw (1X) — The model gives São Bernardo or a draw a 90% chance, São Bernardo sit 11th, 3 places above Athletic Club and bookmakers make São Bernardo favourites at 1.70.
Form (last 5)
São Bernardo
DLWWL
1.6 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
Athletic Club
DDLWL
1.2 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 São Bernardo wins 0 draws 1 Athletic Club wins last 2 meetings
- Athletic Club2 - 1São Bernardo Serie B
- Athletic Club1 - 4São Bernardo Serie C
Statistics: API-Football · updated 12 Nov 2026, 06:10. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
