Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin
Colombia Primera A
Águilas Doradas
Independiente Medellin
November 12, 2026 at 22:00 · Estadio Cincuentenario
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Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin prediction and betting tip for this Colombia Primera A match, kicking off November 12, 2026 at 22:00 at Estadio Cincuentenario. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X), 90% confidence.
Why we pick: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X)
- Águilas Doradas are the stronger side on Elo rating (+20).
- Águilas Doradas are unbeaten in their last 6 home games.
- Better recent form: 1.8 vs 1.2 points per game.
Model probability: 61%
Facts from this season's and last season's results. A pick is only made when several of them agree and nothing points the other way. No bet is ever certain — please gamble responsibly (18+).
Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin Preview
Águilas Doradas host Independiente Medellin in the Colombia Primera A (Clausura - 19) on Thursday 12 November 2026, kick-off 22:00 WAT at Estadio Cincuentenario.
Águilas Doradas are 10th in the table with 25 points from 18 games (6-7-5), while Independiente Medellin sit 6th on 29 points. Independiente Medellin have a 4-point advantage. At home Águilas Doradas have won 4 of 8; Independiente Medellin have won 4 of 9 on the road.
Águilas Doradas have three wins and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-L-W-W-L), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Independiente Medellin have two wins and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-W-W), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Águilas Doradas have won 2, Independiente Medellin 1, with 3 draws and an average of 1.8 goals per game. The most recent, in May 2026, finished Independiente Medellin 1-2 Águilas Doradas.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto leads Águilas Doradas's scoring with 11 goals.
Bookmakers make Águilas Doradas the favourites: Águilas Doradas 2.40, draw 3.30, Independiente Medellin 2.90 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.95 and under at 1.85. Both teams to score: yes 1.73, no 2.00.
Our prediction: Águilas Doradas or draw (1X). The model gives Águilas Doradas or a draw a 90% chance, Águilas Doradas have won 3 of their last 5 and they are unbeaten in 8 of 8 home games.
Primera A table
Clausura
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | +20 | 39 | WDWWW |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | +19 | 36 | DDWWD |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | +16 | 34 | DWDWD |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | +13 | 32 | WDWLL |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | +10 | 31 | WLLWW |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +3 | 29 | WWLLL |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +9 | 27 | LDDWD |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 27 | WWDDW |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 26 | WWLLL |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | +1 | 25 | LWWLW |
| 11 | Cucuta | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | -7 | 24 | LWLLW |
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | -3 | 23 | WWLLW |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -3 | 20 | LWLWD |
| 14 | Junior | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | -2 | 19 | WLDWD |
| 15 | Chico | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -14 | 19 | WLDWL |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -13 | 18 | LLLWW |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -10 | 17 | LLWDW |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -16 | 15 | LWLWL |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -18 | 13 | LLLWL |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -11 | 12 | LLLDL |
Top scorers
- Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto 11 goals · 0 assists
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 11 Nov 2026, 06:11. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
Win probability
Our tip: Águilas Doradas or draw (1X) — The model gives Águilas Doradas or a draw a 90% chance, Águilas Doradas have won 3 of their last 5 and they are unbeaten in 8 of 8 home games.
Form (last 5)
Águilas Doradas
WLWWL
1.0 scored · 0.6 conceded per game
Independiente Medellin
LLLWW
1.4 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Águilas Doradas wins 3 draws 1 Independiente Medellin wins last 6 meetings
- Independiente Medellin1 - 2Águilas Doradas Primera A
- Águilas Doradas2 - 1Independiente Medellin Primera A
- Independiente Medellin0 - 0Águilas Doradas Primera A
- Águilas Doradas1 - 1Independiente Medellin Primera A
- Independiente Medellin1 - 0Águilas Doradas Primera A
- Águilas Doradas1 - 1Independiente Medellin Primera A
Statistics: API-Football · updated 11 Nov 2026, 06:10. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
