Italy vs France
UEFA Nations League
Italy
France
November 12, 2026 at 20:45 · San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
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Italy vs France prediction and betting tip for this UEFA Nations League match, kicking off November 12, 2026 at 20:45 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza. Our tip: Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2), 90% confidence.
Italy vs France Preview
Italy host France in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 5) on Thursday 12 November 2026, kick-off 20:45 WAT at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza in Milan. Istvan Kovacs is the referee.
Italy are 2nd in the table with 7 points from 4 games (2-1-1), while France sit 1st on 10 points. Only 3 points separate them. At home Italy have won 1 of 2; France have won 2 of 2 on the road.
Italy have two wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 4 league games (L-W-D-W), averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. France have three wins and one draw in their last 4 league games (W-W-D-W), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded.
In their last 5 meetings Italy have won 2, France 2, with 1 draw and an average of 3.2 goals per game. The most recent, in October 2026, finished France 1-1 Italy.
Italy average 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3. France average 1.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: M. Olise leads France's scoring with 4 goals and 2 assists.
Bookmakers make France the favourites: Italy 4.33, draw 4.00, France 1.75 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.62 and under at 2.25. Both teams to score: yes 1.57, no 2.25.
Our prediction: France or draw (X2). The model gives France or a draw a 90% chance, France have won 3 of their last 4 and bookmakers make France favourites at 1.75.
UEFA Nations League table
League A - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 | WDWW |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 | WDWL |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | LWLW |
| 4 | Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 | LLLL |
Season stats
| Italy | France | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 2 / 1 / 1 | 3 / 1 / 0 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 8 (2.0) | 7 (1.8) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 5 (1.3) | 2 (0.5) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.5 / 2.5 | 2.5 / 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 3-1 | 4-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-3-3 | — |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- M. Olise 4 goals · 2 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 11 Nov 2026, 06:11. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
Win probability
Our tip: France or draw (X2) — The model gives France or a draw a 90% chance, France have won 3 of their last 4 and bookmakers make France favourites at 1.75.
Form (last 5)
Italy
LWDW
2.0 scored · 1.3 conceded per game
France
WWDW
1.8 scored · 0.5 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Italy wins 1 draws 2 France wins last 5 meetings
- France1 - 1Italy UEFA Nations League
- Italy1 - 3France UEFA Nations League
- France1 - 3Italy UEFA Nations League
- France3 - 1Italy Friendlies
- France0 - 2Italy Euro Championship
Statistics: API-Football · updated 11 Nov 2026, 06:10. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
