Northern Ireland vs Ukraine

UEFA Nations League

Northern Ireland

Ukraine

November 14, 2026 at 20:45 · Windsor Park

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Predicted Outcome Under 3.5 Goals

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine prediction and betting tip for this UEFA Nations League match, kicking off November 14, 2026 at 20:45 at Windsor Park. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals.

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine Preview

Northern Ireland host Ukraine in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 5) on Saturday 14 November 2026, kick-off 20:45 WAT at Windsor Park in Belfast. Francois Letexier is the referee.

Northern Ireland are 1st in the table with 8 points from 4 games (2-2-0), while Ukraine sit 3rd on 4 points. Northern Ireland have a 4-point advantage. At home Northern Ireland have won 0 of 2; Ukraine have won 1 of 2 on the road.

Northern Ireland have two wins and two draws in their last 4 league games (W-D-W-D), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded. Ukraine have one win, one draw and two defeats in their last 4 league games (W-D-L-L), averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded.

In their last 3 meetings Northern Ireland have won 2, Ukraine 1, with 0 draws and an average of 2.0 goals per game. The most recent, in October 2026, finished Ukraine 0-3 Northern Ireland.

Northern Ireland average 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-2-1. Ukraine average 0.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.

No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.

Bookmakers make Northern Ireland the favourites: Northern Ireland 2.50, draw 3.00, Ukraine 3.10 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.60 and under at 1.48. Both teams to score: yes 2.10, no 1.67.

Our prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 1.4 goals, their last 3 meetings averaged 2.0 goals and recent form points to 1.4 goals a game.

UEFA Nations League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Northern Ireland	4	2	2	0	+4	8
3	Ukraine	4	1	1	2	-3	4

Season stats

	Northern Ireland	Ukraine
Played	4	4
Won / Drawn / Lost	2 / 2 / 0	1 / 1 / 2
Goals scored (per game)	4 (1.0)	2 (0.5)
Goals conceded (per game)	0 (0.0)	5 (1.3)
Scored at home / away (per game)	0.0 / 2.0	0.5 / 0.5
Clean sheets	4	2
Failed to score	2	2
Longest winning run	1	1
Biggest win	0-3	0-1
Usual formation	3-4-2-1	4-2-3-1

Odds (Bet365)

Northern Ireland2.50 Draw3.00 Ukraine3.10 1X1.36 121.36 X21.50 Over 1.51.50 Under 1.52.50 Over 3.55.50 Under 3.51.14 Over 2.52.60 Under 2.51.48 BTTS Yes2.10 BTTS No1.67

Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.

Data: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 22:30. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

Win probability

Northern Ireland 50% Draw 50% Ukraine 0%

Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 1.4 goals, their last 3 meetings averaged 2.0 goals and recent form points to 1.4 goals a game.

Form (last 5)

Northern Ireland WDWD 1.0 scored · 0.0 conceded per game

Ukraine WDLL 0.5 scored · 1.3 conceded per game

Team comparison

Northern IrelandUkraine

67% 33% Form

67% 33% Attack

100% 0% Defence

0% 0% Poisson

64% 36% Head-to-head

83% 17% Goals

70% 30% Overall

Head-to-head

2 Northern Ireland wins 0 draws 1 Ukraine wins last 3 meetings

2 Oct 2026 Ukraine0 - 3Northern Ireland UEFA Nations League
3 Jun 2021 Ukraine1 - 0Northern Ireland Friendlies
16 Jun 2016 Ukraine0 - 2Northern Ireland Euro Championship

Statistics: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 22:30. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).