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Senegal vs Sudan

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Senegal Senegal
VS
Sudan Sudan

November 12, 2026 at 20:00 · Stade Me Abdoulaye Wade

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Predicted Outcome Home Win

Senegal vs Sudan prediction and betting tip for this Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification match, kicking off November 12, 2026 at 20:00 at Stade Me Abdoulaye Wade. Our tip: Home Win.

Senegal vs Sudan Preview

Senegal host Sudan in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 3) on Thursday 12 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 WAT at Stade Me Abdoulaye Wade in Diamniadio.

Senegal are 1st in the table with 4 points from 2 games (1-1-0), while Sudan sit 3rd on 3 points. Only 1 point separates them.

Senegal have one win and one draw in their last 2 league games (D-W), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Sudan have one win and one defeat in their last 2 league games (W-L), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.

In their last 6 meetings Senegal have won 3, Sudan 0, with 3 draws and an average of 1.5 goals per game. The most recent, in January 2026, finished Senegal 3-1 Sudan.

Senegal average 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Sudan average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet, usually in a 4-4-2.

No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.

Bookmakers make Senegal the favourites: Senegal 1.11, draw 7.50, Sudan 21.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.50 and under at 2.50. Both teams to score: yes 2.75, no 1.40.

Our prediction: Senegal to win (1). The model makes Senegal favourites at 45%, the bookmakers agree (1.11) and Senegal have won 3 of the last 6 meetings.

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table

Group J

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1 Senegal 2110 +1 4 WD
2 Mozambique 2110 +3 4 WD
3 Sudan 2101 -2 3 LW
4 Ethiopia 2002 -2 0 LL

Season stats

SenegalSudan
Played22
Won / Drawn / Lost1 / 1 / 01 / 0 / 1
Goals scored (per game)2 (1.0)2 (1.0)
Goals conceded (per game)1 (0.5)4 (2.0)
Scored at home / away (per game)0.0 / 1.01.0 / 1.0
Clean sheets11
Failed to score00
Longest winning run01
Biggest win0-11-0
Usual formation4-2-3-14-4-2

Odds (Bet365)

Senegal1.11 Draw7.50 Sudan21.00 1X1.00 121.07 X26.00 Over 1.51.14 Under 1.55.00 Over 3.52.20 Under 3.51.62 Over 2.51.50 Under 2.52.50 BTTS Yes2.75 BTTS No1.40

Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.

Data: API-Football · updated 12 Nov 2026, 03:36. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

Win probability

Senegal 45% Draw 45% Sudan 10%

Our tip: Senegal to win (1) — The model makes Senegal favourites at 45%, the bookmakers agree (1.11) and Senegal have won 3 of the last 6 meetings.

Form (last 5)

Senegal DW 1.0 scored · 0.5 conceded per game
Sudan WL 1.0 scored · 2.0 conceded per game

Team comparison

SenegalSudan
57% 43% Form
50% 50% Attack
80% 20% Defence
0% 0% Poisson
75% 25% Head-to-head
75% 25% Goals
67% 33% Overall

Head-to-head

3 Senegal wins 3 draws 0 Sudan wins last 6 meetings

  • Senegal3 - 1Sudan Africa Cup of Nations
  • Senegal2 - 0Sudan World Cup - Qualification Africa
  • Sudan1 - 1Senegal African Nations Championship
  • Sudan0 - 0Senegal African Nations Championship
  • Sudan0 - 0Senegal World Cup - Qualification Africa
  • Sudan0 - 1Senegal Africa Cup of Nations

Statistics: API-Football · updated 12 Nov 2026, 03:35. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).

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Written by Edward Promise

Edward Promise is the Founder and Editor-in-Chief of Winonbetonline. He oversees the site's editorial direction, football coverage and publishing standards, and specialises in football analysis, tactical reporting and editorial strategy.