Albania vs Finland
UEFA Nations League
Albania
Finland
November 12, 2026 at 20:45 · Arena Kombëtare
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Albania vs Finland prediction and betting tip for this UEFA Nations League match, kicking off November 12, 2026 at 20:45 at Arena Kombëtare. Our tip: Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2), 90% confidence.
Albania vs Finland Preview
Albania host Finland in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 5) on Thursday 12 November 2026, kick-off 20:45 WAT at Arena Kombëtare in Tirana. Joao Pinheiro is the referee.
Albania are 1st in the table with 9 points from 4 games (3-0-1), while Finland sit 3rd on 7 points. Only 2 points separate them. At home Albania have won 2 of 2; Finland have won 1 of 2 on the road.
Albania have three wins and one defeat in their last 4 league games (W-W-L-W), averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Finland have two wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 4 league games (W-D-W-L), averaging 2.3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded.
In their last 1 meetings Albania have won 0, Finland 1, with 0 draws and an average of 3.0 goals per game. The most recent, in October 2026, finished Finland 2-1 Albania.
Albania average 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets, usually in a 3-4-3. Finland average 2.3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: K. Asllani leads Albania's scoring with 3 goals and 1 assist; L. Walta leads Finland's scoring with 4 goals and 1 assist.
Bookmakers make Albania the favourites: Albania 1.91, draw 3.30, Finland 4.10 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.25 and under at 1.62. Both teams to score: yes 2.00, no 1.73.
Our prediction: Finland or draw (X2). The model gives Finland or a draw a 90% chance and Finland have lost only 1 of their last 4.
UEFA Nations League table
League C - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 9 | WLWW |
| 2 | Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 | WWDL |
| 3 | Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 7 | LWDW |
| 4 | San Marino | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -15 | 0 | LLLL |
Season stats
| Albania | Finland | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 3 / 0 / 1 | 2 / 1 / 1 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 8 (2.0) | 9 (2.3) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 3 (0.8) | 2 (0.5) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.0 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 3.5 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Usual formation | 3-4-3 | 4-3-3 |
Top scorers
- K. Asllani 3 goals · 1 assist
- L. Walta 4 goals · 1 assist
- J. Pohjanpalo 3 goals · 0 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 11 Nov 2026, 06:11. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
Win probability
Our tip: Finland or draw (X2) — The model gives Finland or a draw a 90% chance and Finland have lost only 1 of their last 4.
Form (last 5)
Albania
WWLW
2.0 scored · 0.8 conceded per game
Finland
WDWL
2.3 scored · 0.5 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
0 Albania wins 0 draws 1 Finland wins last 1 meeting
- Finland2 - 1Albania UEFA Nations League
Statistics: API-Football · updated 11 Nov 2026, 06:10. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
